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Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hanshin Tigers (Local)
Prediction 68.48%1.46fair odd
EV -0.702%
Edge -0.484%
Kelly -1.56%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.63%68.14%68.81%70.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.381.4575.76%72.34%72.46%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 31.52%3.17fair odd
EV +2.12%
Edge +0.655%
Kelly +0.947%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 3.24
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%31.86%31.19%35.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.953.003.2437.74%33.92%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 68.48%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 31.52%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.12%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV +2.12%E +0.655%K +0.947%G +0.020% | 3.3% | 2026-09-09 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV +0.545%E +0.171%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 08:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV +0.545%E +0.171%K +0.249%G +0.001% | 3.8% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -4.81%E -3.46%K -12.34%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV +0.230%E +0.072%K +0.105%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-09 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.716%E -0.227%K -0.333%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-09 08:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-09 08:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 08:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 08:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 08:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-09-09 08:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -6.39%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-09 08:44 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.44%E -2.44%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.65%E -2.61%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-09 08:36 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.60%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-09-09 08:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.13%E -2.95%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-09-08 22:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.13%E -2.95%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-09-08 22:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.96%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-09-09 08:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.39%E -0.963%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-08 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.13%E -2.95%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.90%E -5.52%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-09 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -0.702%E -0.484%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -16.48%E -6.22%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-08 13:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.75%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.02%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -16.48%E -6.22%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-09-09 08:37 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.