默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-09-09 09:32 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

68%

32%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 68.48%1.46公平赔率

EV -0.702%

优势 -0.484%

Kelly -1.56%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布

64.63%68.14%68.81%70.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.321.381.381.4575.76%72.34%72.46%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 31.52%3.17公平赔率

EV +2.12%

优势 +0.655%

Kelly +0.947%

增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 3.24

博彩公司预测分布

29.86%31.86%31.19%35.37%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.652.953.003.2437.74%33.92%33.33%30.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：68.48%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：31.52%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.17。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.24，对应+2.12%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%	3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV +2.12%E +0.655%K +0.947%G +0.020%	3.3%	2026-09-09 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%	3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV +0.545%E +0.171%K +0.249%G +0.001%	3.8%	2026-09-09 08:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%	3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV +0.545%E +0.171%K +0.249%G +0.001%	3.8%	2026-09-09 08:44
1xBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -4.81%E -3.46%K -12.34%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV +0.230%E +0.072%K +0.105%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-09-09 08:45
BetUS🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -0.716%E -0.227%K -0.333%G +0.000%	4.2%	2026-09-09 08:45
NordicBet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 08:54
FanDuel🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 08:30
Betsson🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 08:54
DraftKings🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-09-09 08:55
Bovada🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -7.55%E -5.59%K -21.57%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-09 08:39
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.02%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.29%E -0.739%K -1.09%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-09 08:39
BoyleSports🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-09 08:34
888sport🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-09 08:49
ReBet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-09 08:54
888sport (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-09 08:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-09 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-09-09 08:34
Betway🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.92%E -6.71%K -27.03%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.44%E -1.81%K -2.72%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-09 08:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -5.50%E -3.98%K -14.46%G +0.000%	2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -6.39%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-09-09 08:44
Coolbet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.51%EV -3.44%E -2.44%K -8.39%G +0.000%	2.93I 34.13%NM 32.49%EV -7.65%E -2.61%K -3.96%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-09-09 08:36
theScore Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.87%E -5.05%K -19.07%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.60%E -2.96%K -4.52%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-09-09 08:54
BetMGM🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.13%E -2.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.17%E -3.57%K -5.50%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-09-08 22:44
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.13%E -2.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-09-08 22:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 67.96%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.02%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.75%E -4.20%K -6.53%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-09-09 08:55
Unibet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -1.39%E -0.963%K -3.15%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-09-08 21:35
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-08 21:35
BetRivers🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-08 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-08 21:35
PMU (FR)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-08 21:35
Bally Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.07%E -1.45%K -4.82%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -13.32%E -4.84%K -7.61%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-09-08 21:35
Fanatics🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -4.13%E -2.95%K -10.32%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -14.90%E -5.52%K -8.76%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-09-09 08:49
Caesars🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -0.702%E -0.484%K -1.56%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -16.48%E -6.22%K -9.98%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-09-08 13:09
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.32I 75.76%NM 66.75%EV -9.60%E -7.28%K -30.02%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 33.25%EV -16.48%E -6.22%K -9.98%G +0.000%	13.5%	2026-09-09 08:37

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。