Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Kickoff: 2026-07-05 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV +0.680%
Edge +0.442%
Kelly +1.26%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.35%65.03%65.55%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.371.451.451.5472.99%68.73%68.97%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV +0.408%
Edge +0.141%
Kelly +0.215%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%34.97%34.45%37.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.492.682.702.9040.16%37.37%37.04%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 65.38%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 34.62%. For Hanshin Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.53. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.680%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetUS🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +0.680%E +0.442%K +1.26%G +0.009%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 20:35
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 20:44
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:34
BetRivers🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.44%E -5.38%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 22:55
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.09%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 08:15
Coral🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.44%E -5.38%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 20:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.02%E -0.712%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 07:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.02%E -0.712%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 07:30
Pinnacle🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.36%E -0.838%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 08:50
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 08:55
Coolbet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:50
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:35
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:34
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 08:05
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 08:50
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.29%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 03:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.29%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 03:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.29%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 03:00
William Hill🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.408%E +0.141%K +0.215%G +0.001%4.4%2026-07-05 08:39
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -1.67%E -0.588%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 08:38
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 08:35
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:35
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:35
Fliff🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.25%E -3.11%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 08:55
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 08:10
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 64.51%EV -10.43%E -7.62%K -28.20%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 35.49%EV -13.79%E -5.54%K -9.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-05 08:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.