L’École des cotes

Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prévision 65.38%1.53cote équitable
EV +0.680%
Avantage +0.442%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.009%

avec la cote maximale 1.54

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.35%65.03%65.55%66.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.371.451.451.5472.99%68.73%68.97%64.94%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.62%2.89cote équitable
EV +0.408%
Avantage +0.141%
Kelly +0.215%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.03%34.97%34.45%37.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.492.682.702.9040.16%37.37%37.04%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV +0.680%E +0.442%K +1.26%G +0.009%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 20:35
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-04 20:44
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:34
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.71%E -4.59%K -7.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 08:35
Caesars1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.94%E -1.29%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -13.44%E -5.38%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 22:55
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -4.09%E -1.48%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 08:15
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -3.24%E -2.19%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -13.44%E -5.38%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 20:35
BetOnline.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.02%E -0.712%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 07:30
LowVig.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -2.02%E -0.712%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-05 07:30
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.73%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.27%EV -2.36%E -0.838%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 08:50
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-05 08:55
Coolbet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.90%E -2.65%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:50
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:35
Fanatics1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:34
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.20%E -3.59%K -11.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.05%E -1.09%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 08:35
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 08:05
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-05 08:50
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.29%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 03:00
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.29%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 03:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.86%E -4.07%K -13.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.29%E -3.54%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 03:00
William Hill1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +0.408%E +0.141%K +0.215%G +0.001%4.4%2026-07-05 08:39
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -1.67%E -0.588%K -0.907%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 08:35
MyBookie.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 08:38
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 08:35
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:35
theScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 08:35
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.51%E -4.55%K -15.14%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.25%E -3.11%K -5.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 08:55
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 08:10
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.79%E -1.74%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-05 08:35
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.52%E -2.41%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-05 08:40
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.47%E -6.05%K -21.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.98%E -3.84%K -6.24%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-05 08:45
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 64.51%EV -10.43%E -7.62%K -28.20%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 35.49%EV -13.79%E -5.54%K -9.25%G +0.000%13.2%2026-07-05 08:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.