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Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Hanshin Tigers (Local)
Prediction 63.80%1.57fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.99%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.52%63.67%63.88%65.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.411.491.491.5270.92%67.29%67.11%65.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 36.20%2.76fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -0.841%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.89%36.33%36.12%38.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.572.602.7042.55%38.95%38.46%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 63.80%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 36.20%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.76. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.70, with an expected value of -2.27%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.02%E -1.99%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-17 04:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -3.02%E -1.99%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-17 04:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-17 04:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -2.63%E -0.979%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-17 04:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.00%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-17 04:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 04:01 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.08%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-17 01:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 18:36 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.93%E -3.31%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.08%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-17 03:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 03:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-17 04:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.00%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-17 03:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 03:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-17 01:33 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-16 22:35 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.70%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-17 01:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-16 16:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.22%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-17 03:40 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.22%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.70%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 04:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.22%K -13.21%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.70%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-17 04:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.70%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-16 20:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-17 03:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-16 22:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.38%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.08%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-17 03:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -14.94%E -6.36%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-05-17 04:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.