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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hanshin Tigers v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-05-17 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 63.80%1.57公平赔率
EV -3.02%
优势 -1.99%
Kelly -5.80%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.52

博彩公司预测分布
61.52%63.67%63.88%65.11%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.411.491.491.5270.92%67.29%67.11%65.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 36.20%2.76公平赔率
EV -2.27%
优势 -0.841%
Kelly -1.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.70

博彩公司预测分布
34.89%36.33%36.12%38.48%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.352.572.602.7042.55%38.95%38.46%37.04%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：63.80%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：36.20%。 对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.76。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.70，期望值为-2.27%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.37%EV -3.02%E -1.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.63%EV -4.81%E -1.83%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-17 04:50
Unibet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.52%EV -3.02%E -1.99%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.48%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 04:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 04:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.13%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.87%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-17 04:40
Pinnacle🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 64.05%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.95%EV -2.63%E -0.979%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-17 04:50
BetUS🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.96%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.00%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-17 04:50
BetRivers🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:05
PMU (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:01
Bally Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.68%EV -3.66%E -2.42%K -7.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.32%EV -12.04%E -4.96%K -8.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-17 04:05
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.08%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-17 01:40
Coolbet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-17 01:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 18:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 18:35
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 18:36
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.29%E -2.86%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 18:40
DraftKings🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.93%E -3.31%K -10.06%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.08%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 03:24
William Hill🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 03:45
Betsson🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -2.27%E -0.841%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-17 04:50
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -3.00%E -1.12%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-17 03:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 03:44
Bovada🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 01:33
BetMGM🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-16 22:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -7.70%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 01:40
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -5.57%E -3.76%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 16:05
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.21%E -4.22%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 03:40
ReBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.22%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.70%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 04:05
Fliff🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -6.21%E -4.22%K -13.21%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.70%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 04:55
Everygame🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -7.48%E -5.16%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -7.70%E -3.02%K -4.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-16 20:09
BoyleSports🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -5.89%E -2.27%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-17 03:40
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -8.12%E -5.64%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.51%E -3.80%K -6.34%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-16 22:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -9.40%E -6.62%K -22.38%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -4.08%E -1.54%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 03:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 62.50%EV -10.04%E -7.12%K -24.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.50%EV -14.94%E -6.36%K -11.07%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-17 04:35
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。