The School of Odds
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Hanshin Tigers v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 65.60%1.52fair odd
EV +0.369%
Edge +0.241%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.50%65.34%65.79%66.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5371.43%68.94%69.20%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 34.40%2.91fair odd
EV +0.102%
Edge +0.035%
Kelly +0.053%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.26%34.66%34.21%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.9140.00%37.12%37.04%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 65.60%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 34.40%. For Hanshin Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.369%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +0.369%E +0.241%K +0.696%G +0.003%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -11.25%E -4.36%K -7.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-17 13:54
Caesars🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.60%E -1.07%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -14.00%E -5.60%K -9.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 13:52
LowVig.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 04:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 04:35
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -8.15%E -3.05%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 04:44
BetRivers🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:30
Unibet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:30
Bally Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:30
1xBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.57%E -2.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-18 04:45
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV +0.102%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 04:40
BetUS🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -2.99%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 04:55
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 04:40
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 04:45
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 04:45
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-18 04:40
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.40%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-18 04:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 04:40
Fliff🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.84%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 04:45
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.87%E -3.77%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.87%E -3.77%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.87%E -3.77%K -6.09%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 04:45
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.31%E -0.812%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 04:40
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.40%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 04:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -6.78%E -2.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 04:49
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 04:40
ReBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 04:40
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.30%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-18 04:34
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.40%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 04:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 04:40
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.56%E -4.06%K -6.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-18 04:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.