默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-04-18 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

66%

34%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 65.60%1.52公平赔率

EV +0.369%

优势 +0.241%

Kelly +0.696%

增长率 +0.003%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布

62.50%65.34%65.79%66.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.401.451.441.5371.43%68.94%69.20%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 34.40%2.91公平赔率

EV +0.102%

优势 +0.035%

Kelly +0.053%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.91

博彩公司预测分布

33.26%34.66%34.21%37.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.502.692.702.9140.00%37.12%37.04%34.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：65.60%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：34.40%。对于“Hanshin Tigers (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.52。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.53，对应+0.369%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +0.369%E +0.241%K +0.696%G +0.003%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -11.25%E -4.36%K -7.12%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-04-17 13:54
Caesars🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.60%E -1.07%K -3.20%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -14.00%E -5.60%K -9.33%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-04-17 13:52
LowVig.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-04-18 04:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-04-18 04:35
Coolbet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -8.15%E -3.05%K -4.88%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-04-18 04:44
BetRivers🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-18 04:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-18 04:30
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-18 04:30
PMU (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-18 04:30
Unibet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-18 04:30
Bally Bet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.28%EV -2.91%E -1.97%K -6.06%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.72%EV -12.28%E -4.82%K -7.92%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-18 04:30
1xBet🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.65%EV -3.57%E -2.43%K -7.59%G +0.000%	2.81I 35.59%NM 34.35%EV -3.34%E -1.19%K -1.84%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-04-18 04:45
Pinnacle🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.74%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 33.26%EV +0.102%E +0.035%K +0.053%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-04-18 04:40
BetUS🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.04%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.96%EV -2.99%E -1.06%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-04-18 04:55
Fanatics🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-18 04:40
Betsson🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-18 04:45
NordicBet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.88%E -3.36%K -10.84%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-04-18 04:45
DraftKings🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-04-18 04:40
BetMGM🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.40%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-04-18 04:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-04-18 04:40
Fliff🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -8.84%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-04-18 04:45
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.87%E -3.77%K -6.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-18 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.87%E -3.77%K -6.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-18 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.54%E -3.84%K -12.58%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.87%E -3.77%K -6.09%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-04-18 04:45
FanDuel🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -2.31%E -0.812%K -1.25%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-04-18 04:40
Betway🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.40%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-04-18 04:40
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.46%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%	2.71I 36.90%NM 34.54%EV -6.78%E -2.50%K -3.96%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-04-18 04:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-18 04:40
ReBet🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.40%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-04-18 04:40
Bovada🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.85%E -4.82%K -16.30%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.68%E -1.31%K -2.05%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-04-18 04:34
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -5.40%E -1.96%K -3.09%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-04-18 04:39
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-04-18 04:40
Coral🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.12%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-04-18 04:45
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 65.00%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.40%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -10.56%E -4.06%K -6.60%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-04-18 04:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。