Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers v Chunichi Dragons

Kickoff: 2026-04-17 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Hanshin Tigers (Local)

Prediction 69.09%1.45fair odd
EV +0.182%
Edge +0.126%
Kelly +0.405%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.88%68.76%69.04%70.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.371.4575.76%72.69%72.99%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chunichi Dragons (Visit)

Prediction 30.91%3.24fair odd
EV +0.144%
Edge +0.045%
Kelly +0.064%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.72%31.24%30.96%34.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.003.003.2436.36%33.28%33.33%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Hanshin Tigers (Local): 69.09%; Chunichi Dragons (Visit): 30.91%. For Hanshin Tigers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.447. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.450, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.182%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV +0.182%E +0.126%K +0.405%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -13.46%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 08:29
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV +0.182%E +0.126%K +0.405%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -13.46%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 08:28
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.89%E -1.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 08:54
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.89%E -1.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.00%E -5.45%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 08:43
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.11%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.11%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 08:54
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 08:49
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
William Hill🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 08:54
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV +0.144%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-17 08:50
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -5.35%E -3.90%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV +0.144%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 08:40
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.35%E -3.90%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.64%E -0.837%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:39
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:49
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:50
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 08:30
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 08:44
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.66%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 08:44
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.10%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 08:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.10%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 08:45
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.10%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -8.11%E -6.10%K -24.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.80%E -6.67%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 08:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.