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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Hanshin Tigers v Chunichi Dragons

开赛时间： 2026-04-17 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Hanshin Tigers (主队)

预测 69.09%1.45公平赔率
EV +0.182%
优势 +0.126%
Kelly +0.405%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 1.45

博彩公司预测分布
65.88%68.76%69.04%70.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.381.371.4575.76%72.69%72.99%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chunichi Dragons (客队)

预测 30.91%3.24公平赔率
EV +0.144%
优势 +0.045%
Kelly +0.064%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.24

博彩公司预测分布
29.72%31.24%30.96%34.12%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.753.003.003.2436.36%33.28%33.33%30.86%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Hanshin Tigers (主队)：69.09%；Chunichi Dragons (客队)：30.91%。 对于“Hanshin Tigers (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.447。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.450，对应+0.182%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
NordicBet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV +0.182%E +0.126%K +0.405%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -13.46%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 08:29
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV +0.182%E +0.126%K +0.405%G +0.001%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -13.46%E -4.81%K -7.48%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 08:28
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -1.89%E -1.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-17 08:54
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -1.89%E -1.33%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -15.00%E -5.45%K -8.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-17 08:43
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.11%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 08:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.11%E -1.66%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-17 08:54
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 08:49
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.27%E -2.34%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -10.98%E -3.81%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:50
William Hill🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 08:54
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -3.96%E -2.85%K -10.16%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 08:54
Pinnacle🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 70.13%EV -4.65%E -3.37%K -12.25%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.87%EV +0.144%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-17 08:50
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -5.35%E -3.90%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV +0.144%E +0.045%K +0.064%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-17 08:40
Fanatics🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -5.35%E -3.90%K -14.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -2.64%E -0.837%K -1.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-17 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.09%E -0.341%K -0.496%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 08:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:39
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:49
Fliff🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.04%E -4.44%K -16.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:50
Bovada🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 08:30
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-17 08:44
ReBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -5.73%E -1.88%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 08:44
MyBookie.ag🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.11%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 30.89%EV -6.66%E -2.20%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-17 08:50
theScore Bet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -6.73%E -4.98%K -19.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 08:44
Betway🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.10%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 08:50
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.10%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 08:45
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.11%E -6.10%K -24.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -7.27%E -2.42%K -3.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-17 08:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.56%EV -8.11%E -6.10%K -24.57%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.44%EV -10.36%E -3.57%K -5.46%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-17 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -8.80%E -6.67%K -27.50%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.18%E -1.35%K -1.99%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 08:40
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。