The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 61.58%1.62fair odd
EV -3.31%
Edge -2.11%
Kelly -5.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.10%61.56%61.54%62.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.451.531.541.5768.97%65.16%64.72%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 38.42%2.60fair odd
EV -0.119%
Edge -0.046%
Kelly -0.074%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.35%38.44%38.46%39.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.442.452.6043.86%40.94%40.82%38.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 61.58%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 38.42%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.603. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.600, with an expected value of -0.119%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.31%E -2.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 04:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.27%E -0.495%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-13 04:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.27%E -0.495%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-13 04:40
Fanatics🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.04%E -0.800%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-13 04:49
Coolbet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 03:30
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.72%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 15:29
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.119%E -0.046%K -0.074%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-13 04:40
1xBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.42%E -0.954%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 04:50
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 04:40
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 04:40
BetMGM🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-13 03:59
DraftKings🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.96%E -1.58%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-13 04:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-12 15:30
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.95%E -3.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 04:00
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.39%E -4.21%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.42%E -0.954%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.39%E -4.21%K -12.29%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 04:48
ReBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.01%E -4.64%K -13.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 04:50
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.96%E -1.58%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 04:50
Bovada🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.96%E -1.58%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 04:39
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 04:50
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 04:50
Everygame🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.86%E -5.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.72%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-13 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -10.70%E -7.38%K -23.78%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -12.41%E -5.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%12.8%2026-06-13 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.