默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-06-13 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

62%

38%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 61.58%1.62公平赔率

EV -3.31%

优势 -2.11%

Kelly -5.81%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布

60.10%61.56%61.54%62.65%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.451.531.541.5768.97%65.16%64.72%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 38.42%2.60公平赔率

EV -0.119%

优势 -0.046%

Kelly -0.074%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布

37.35%38.44%38.46%39.90%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.282.442.452.6043.86%40.94%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：61.58%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：38.42%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.603。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.600，期望值为-0.119%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.31%E -2.11%K -5.81%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -4.73%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-13 04:00
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.27%E -0.495%K -0.810%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-06-13 04:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -1.27%E -0.495%K -0.810%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-06-13 04:40
Fanatics🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.04%E -0.800%K -1.32%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-06-13 04:49
Coolbet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-13 03:30
BetRivers🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-13 04:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-13 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-13 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-13 04:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-13 04:50
Caesars🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.93%E -2.52%K -7.02%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.72%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-12 15:29
Pinnacle🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -0.119%E -0.046%K -0.074%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-06-13 04:40
1xBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -2.42%E -0.954%K -1.57%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-06-13 04:50
BetUS🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 62.01%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53%NM 37.99%EV -2.81%E -1.11%K -1.84%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-06-13 04:40
Betsson🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-13 04:50
NordicBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.54%E -2.93%K -8.26%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-06-13 04:40
BetMGM🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -5.16%E -3.35%K -9.56%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-06-13 03:59
DraftKings🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.96%E -1.58%K -2.64%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-06-13 04:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-06-13 04:40
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-12 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-12 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.57%E -3.60%K -6.21%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-06-12 15:30
Coral🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.78%E -3.78%K -10.90%G +0.000%	2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -8.95%E -3.78%K -6.54%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-13 04:00
FanDuel🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.39%E -4.21%K -12.29%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.42%E -0.954%K -1.57%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-06-13 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -6.39%E -4.21%K -12.29%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -4.34%E -1.74%K -2.92%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-13 04:48
ReBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -7.01%E -4.64%K -13.74%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-13 04:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.96%E -1.58%K -2.64%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-13 04:50
Bovada🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -3.96%E -1.58%K -2.64%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-13 04:39
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.88%E -2.40%K -4.06%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-13 04:50
Betway🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-06-13 04:50
Everygame🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.62%E -5.08%K -15.25%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -7.80%E -3.25%K -5.57%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-06-13 04:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 61.36%EV -8.86%E -5.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.72%E -4.14%K -7.20%G +0.000%	10.1%	2026-06-13 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -10.70%E -7.38%K -23.78%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -12.41%E -5.44%K -9.70%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-06-13 04:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。