Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Kickoff: 2026-06-12 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

66%

34%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 65.87%1.52fair odd

EV +0.777%

Edge +0.508%

Kelly +1.47%

Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 1.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

62.50%65.77%66.27%68.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.361.431.441.5373.53%69.70%69.44%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 34.13%2.93fair odd

EV +0.350%

Edge +0.119%

Kelly +0.180%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

31.92%34.23%33.73%37.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.742.752.9440.00%36.51%36.36%34.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 65.87%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 34.13%. For Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.52. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.53, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.777%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Margin	Updated
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +0.777%E +0.508%K +1.47%G +0.011%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -11.94%E -4.63%K -7.56%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-12 08:40
Caesars🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.20%E -0.799%K -2.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -14.67%E -5.87%K -9.78%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-12 07:17
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-06-12 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-06-12 08:39
Betsson🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-12 08:30
NordicBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-12 08:30
Coolbet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -8.87%E -3.32%K -5.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-12 08:49
1xBet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.49%E -3.10%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -2.04%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-12 08:50
Unibet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.49%E -3.10%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-12 07:09
Pinnacle🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV +0.350%E +0.119%K +0.180%G +0.001%	3.5%	2026-06-12 08:50
BetUS🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.72%E -0.955%K -1.47%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-12 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:10
PMU (FR)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:09
BetRivers🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:10
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-12 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-12 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-12 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.81%E -4.06%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.535%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-12 08:50
DraftKings🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.81%E -4.06%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.72%E -0.955%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-12 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -5.81%E -4.06%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -14.67%E -5.87%K -9.78%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-06-12 08:50
FanDuel🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.47%E -4.56%K -15.40%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.535%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-12 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.47%E -4.56%K -15.40%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -3.40%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-12 08:48
Bovada🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.47%E -4.56%K -15.40%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-12 08:40
ReBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.47%E -4.56%K -15.40%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-12 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-12 08:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-12 08:49
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-12 08:40
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-12 08:50
Everygame🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-12 08:39
BetMGM🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.42%E -7.66%K -28.95%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.535%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-12 08:49
Coral🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -10.42%E -7.66%K -28.95%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -2.04%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-12 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -10.42%E -7.66%K -28.95%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.96%E -5.08%K -8.36%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-06-12 08:49

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.