默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-06-12 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

66%

34%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 65.87%1.52公平赔率

EV +0.777%

优势 +0.508%

Kelly +1.47%

增长率 +0.011%

假设最高赔率为 1.53

博彩公司预测分布

62.50%65.77%66.27%68.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.361.431.441.5373.53%69.70%69.44%65.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 34.13%2.93公平赔率

EV +0.350%

优势 +0.119%

Kelly +0.180%

增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.94

博彩公司预测分布

31.92%34.23%33.73%37.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.502.742.752.9440.00%36.51%36.36%34.01%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：65.87%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：34.13%。对于“Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.52。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.53，对应+0.777%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +0.777%E +0.508%K +1.47%G +0.011%	2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -11.94%E -4.63%K -7.56%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-06-12 08:40
Caesars🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -1.20%E -0.799%K -2.40%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -14.67%E -5.87%K -9.78%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-06-12 07:17
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-06-12 08:40
LowVig.ag🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%	3.3%	2026-06-12 08:39
Betsson🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-12 08:30
NordicBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-06-12 08:30
Coolbet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -2.52%E -1.70%K -5.24%G +0.000%	2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -8.87%E -3.32%K -5.31%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-12 08:49
1xBet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.44%EV -4.49%E -3.10%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 33.56%EV -2.04%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-06-12 08:50
Unibet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.49%E -3.10%K -9.98%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-06-12 07:09
Pinnacle🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 67.12%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.88%EV +0.350%E +0.119%K +0.180%G +0.001%	3.5%	2026-06-12 08:50
BetUS🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.72%E -0.955%K -1.47%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-06-12 08:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:10
PMU (FR)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:09
BetRivers🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:10
Bally Bet🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -7.84%E -2.90%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-12 07:10
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-12 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-12 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.15%E -3.58%K -11.71%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.57%E -4.04%K -6.53%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-06-12 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.81%E -4.06%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.535%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-06-12 08:50
DraftKings🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.81%E -4.06%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -2.72%E -0.955%K -1.47%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-12 08:40
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -5.81%E -4.06%K -13.51%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -14.67%E -5.87%K -9.78%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-06-12 08:50
FanDuel🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -6.47%E -4.56%K -15.40%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.535%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-06-12 08:50
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.59%EV -6.47%E -4.56%K -15.40%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 33.41%EV -3.40%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-12 08:48
Bovada🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -6.47%E -4.56%K -15.40%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-12 08:40
ReBet🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.47%E -4.56%K -15.40%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-12 08:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -4.43%E -1.58%K -2.46%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-06-12 08:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-12 08:49
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-12 08:40
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-12 08:50
Everygame🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.79%E -5.56%K -19.46%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.14%E -2.23%K -3.51%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-12 08:39
BetMGM🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -10.42%E -7.66%K -28.95%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -1.02%E -0.350%K -0.535%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-06-12 08:49
Coral🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.85%EV -10.42%E -7.66%K -28.95%G +0.000%	2.87I 34.84%NM 32.15%EV -2.04%E -0.711%K -1.09%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-06-12 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -10.42%E -7.66%K -28.95%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -12.96%E -5.08%K -8.36%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-06-12 08:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。