The School of Odds
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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-16 04:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 66.18%1.51fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -4.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%66.33%66.15%69.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.311.421.421.4876.34%70.33%70.42%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 33.82%2.96fair odd
EV +3.14%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.53%
Growth +0.048%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.05%33.67%33.85%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.782.803.0539.22%36.01%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 66.18%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 33.82%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.96. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.14%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -13.30%E -10.15%K -42.90%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV +3.14%E +1.03%K +1.53%G +0.048%9.1%2026-08-16 03:54
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -0.581%E -0.197%K -0.299%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 02:50
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.26%E -0.430%K -0.655%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-16 03:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:39
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:39
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:39
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-16 03:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.33%E -6.81%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-16 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.30%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 03:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.30%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-16 03:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.33%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -4.64%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 02:55
Betsson🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-16 03:55
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-16 01:20
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-16 03:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 00:59
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 02:45
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.99%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-16 03:24
1xBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -2.05%E -1.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -6.33%E -2.28%K -3.58%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-16 03:50
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 02:45
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-16 02:45
NordicBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.05%E -1.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 03:49
BetUS🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.05%E -1.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-16 03:50
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 23:34
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 03:48
Caesars🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 03:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 03:24
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-16 03:25
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-15 23:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -9.33%E -6.81%K -25.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-16 03:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -9.99%E -7.35%K -27.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%12.7%2026-08-16 03:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.