默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

开赛时间： 2026-08-16 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

66%

34%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 66.18%1.51公平赔率

EV -2.05%

优势 -1.38%

Kelly -4.27%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.48

博彩公司预测分布

64.53%66.33%66.15%69.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.311.421.421.4876.34%70.33%70.42%67.57%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (客队)

预测 33.82%2.96公平赔率

EV +3.14%

优势 +1.03%

Kelly +1.53%

增长率 +0.048%

假设最高赔率为 3.05

博彩公司预测分布

30.05%33.67%33.85%35.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.552.782.803.0539.22%36.01%35.71%32.79%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：66.18%；Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (客队)：33.82%。对于“Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.96。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.05，对应+3.14%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Fanatics🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 69.95%EV -13.30%E -10.15%K -42.90%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.05%EV +3.14%E +1.03%K +1.53%G +0.048%	9.1%	2026-08-16 03:54
FanDuel🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000%	2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -0.581%E -0.197%K -0.299%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-16 02:50
Pinnacle🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 66.82%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.92I 34.25%NM 33.18%EV -1.26%E -0.430%K -0.655%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-16 03:15
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 03:40
PMU (FR)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 03:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 03:39
BetRivers🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 03:39
Unibet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 03:39
Bally Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -2.61%E -0.906%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-16 03:39
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 67.54%EV -9.33%E -6.81%K -25.21%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.46%EV -3.62%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-16 00:59
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.30%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-16 03:54
LowVig.ag🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 65.81%EV -2.71%E -1.84%K -5.77%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 34.19%EV -4.30%E -1.52%K -2.35%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-16 03:55
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.42I 70.42%NM 66.51%EV -6.02%E -4.24%K -14.33%G +0.000%	2.82I 35.46%NM 33.49%EV -4.64%E -1.64%K -2.55%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-16 02:55
Betsson🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-16 03:55
DraftKings🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-16 01:20
ReBet🎯	1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.68%E -4.74%K -16.29%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-16 03:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-16 00:59
BoyleSports🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.31%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-08-16 02:45
Coolbet🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.99%E -2.16%K -3.37%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-16 03:24
1xBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -2.05%E -1.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.82%EV -6.33%E -2.28%K -3.58%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-08-16 03:50
theScore Bet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-16 02:45
Betway🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.34%E -5.24%K -18.36%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.00%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-16 02:45
NordicBet🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.05%E -1.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-16 03:49
BetUS🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.05%E -1.38%K -4.27%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-16 03:50
BetMGM🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-15 23:34
Bovada🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-16 03:48
Caesars🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.03%E -2.78%K -8.96%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.39%E -3.92%K -6.30%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-15 17:40
888sport (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-16 03:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-16 03:24
888sport🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-16 03:25
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.70%E -3.26%K -10.67%G +0.000%	2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.40%E -4.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-15 23:19
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.37I 72.99%NM 65.49%EV -9.33%E -6.81%K -25.21%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 34.51%EV -12.08%E -4.65%K -7.55%G +0.000%	11.5%	2026-08-16 03:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 65.22%EV -9.99%E -7.35%K -27.75%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 34.78%EV -13.77%E -5.40%K -8.88%G +0.000%	12.7%	2026-08-16 03:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。