The School of Odds

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

2026-07-12 05:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 61.21%1.63fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.904%
Kelly -2.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.61%61.10%61.07%62.97%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.471.551.551.6168%65%65%62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 38.79%2.58fair odd
EV -1.08%
Edge -0.423%
Kelly -0.696%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.90%38.93%41.39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.282.402.402.5544%42%42%39%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.46%E -0.904%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.55%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.46%E -0.904%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.55%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:45
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.46%E -0.904%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.55%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:45
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.46%E -0.904%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.55%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:44
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.46%E -0.904%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.55%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:44
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -1.46%E -0.904%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -11.55%E -5.07%K -9.03%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-11 15:43
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.68%E -1.69%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.90%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.86%E -0.733%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 18:44
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -3.90%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.86%E -0.733%K -1.21%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-11 18:44
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -3.90%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.02%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-11 16:45
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -3.90%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -3.41%E -1.37%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-11 16:44
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -3.90%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.79%E -1.53%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 18:39
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -3.90%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -4.96%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 16:34
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.90%E -2.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.12%E -2.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:39
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.52%E -2.90%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -1.08%E -0.423%K -0.696%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 16:44
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.96%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:39
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.13%E -3.31%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.96%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 18:39
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -2.24%E -0.890%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 18:39
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.96%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 18:44
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.96%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 18:39
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.96%E -2.02%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 16:37
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 16:44
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 19:09
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 16:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 16:49
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.35%E -4.15%K -11.99%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.67%E -3.22%K -5.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 16:49
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 18:39
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.19%E -5.46%K -16.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.90%E -2.87%K -4.93%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 18:43
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 61.20%EV -8.80%E -5.91%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.80%EV -8.84%E -3.76%K -6.55%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-11 18:39
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 60.99%EV -8.80%E -5.91%K -17.96%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.01%EV -9.61%E -4.13%K -7.23%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-11 18:38
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.85%EV -9.41%E -6.36%K -19.61%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -10.78%E -4.69%K -8.29%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 18:39
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -10.02%E -6.82%K -21.33%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -3.02%E -1.21%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.