Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

34 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 61.80%1.62fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.699%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.97%61.60%61.73%63.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.541.531.6069.44%65.12%65.36%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 38.20%2.62fair odd
EV +0.845%
Edge +0.320%
Kelly +0.515%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.69%38.40%38.27%41.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.432.452.6443.67%41.13%40.82%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 61.80%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 38.20%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.64, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.845%.

Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV +0.845%E +0.320%K +0.515%G +0.004%3.2%2026-07-12 04:54
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV +0.845%E +0.320%K +0.515%G +0.004%3.2%2026-07-12 04:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.45%E -0.561%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 02:44
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 04:49
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 04:04
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.21%E -2.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 04:29
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.21%E -2.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 04:29
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 04:24
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 04:04
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 04:04
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 04:04
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.15%E -6.23%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 17:39
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 04:39
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 04:34
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 21:37
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 04:29
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 04:04
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 04:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 18:39
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 18:43
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.92%E -5.31%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 04:49
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 04:54
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 04:54
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 04:54
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.47%E -4.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -9.15%E -6.23%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 04:49
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:05
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:05
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:04
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:04
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.74%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.39%EV -11.01%E -7.64%K -25.01%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 38.61%EV -12.52%E -5.47%K -9.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-12 04:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.