L’École des cotes

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prévision 61.80%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.12%
Avantage -0.699%
Kelly -1.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.97%61.60%61.73%63.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.541.531.6069.44%65.12%65.36%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.20%2.62cote équitable
EV +0.845%
Avantage +0.320%
Kelly +0.515%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 2.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.69%38.40%38.27%41.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.292.432.452.6443.67%41.13%40.82%37.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV +0.845%E +0.320%K +0.515%G +0.004%3.2%2026-07-12 04:54
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV +0.845%E +0.320%K +0.515%G +0.004%3.2%2026-07-12 04:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -1.45%E -0.561%K -0.916%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 02:44
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -2.59%E -1.02%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-12 04:49
FanDuel1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -2.98%E -1.17%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-12 04:04
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.21%E -2.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 04:29
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.21%E -2.71%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 04:29
DraftKings1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-12 04:24
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 04:04
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 04:04
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 04:04
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -9.15%E -6.23%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -4.50%E -1.80%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 17:39
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.33%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.67%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 04:39
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 04:34
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -4.83%E -3.13%K -8.94%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 21:37
Bovada1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 04:29
ReBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 04:04
theScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.41%E -2.62%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 04:04
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 18:39
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.30%E -4.87%K -14.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-11 18:43
Fanatics1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -7.92%E -5.31%K -16.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -8.32%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-12 04:49
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 04:54
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 04:54
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 04:54
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -9.47%E -4.00%K -6.91%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 21:44
Unibet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -9.15%E -6.23%K -19.47%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.23%E -4.35%K -7.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-12 04:49
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:05
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:05
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:05
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:04
Bally Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -1.12%E -0.699%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 04:04
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -1.74%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -12.14%E -5.28%K -9.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.39%EV -11.01%E -7.64%K -25.01%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 38.61%EV -12.52%E -5.47%K -9.71%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-12 04:34
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.