Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

Kickoff: 2026-08-14 09:01 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 69.13%1.45fair odd
EV -3.22%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -8.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.58%69.47%68.83%74.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.341.361.4078.74%74.53%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit)

Prediction 30.87%3.24fair odd
EV +12.69%
Edge +3.48%
Kelly +4.79%
Growth +0.607%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.81%30.53%31.17%33.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.173.113.6537.74%31.56%32.15%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 69.13%; Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit): 30.87%. For Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.24. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.69%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%6.1%2026-08-13 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%6.1%2026-08-13 20:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%6.1%2026-08-13 20:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%6.1%2026-08-13 20:44
Unibet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%6.1%2026-08-13 20:44
Bally Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%6.1%2026-08-13 20:44
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -9.44%E -7.21%K -30.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +4.97%E +1.46%K +2.07%G +0.103%5.7%2026-08-13 23:59
Coolbet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +3.43%E +1.02%K +1.46%G +0.050%5.0%2026-08-14 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.88%E +0.570%K +0.818%G +0.015%3.8%2026-08-14 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.88%E +0.570%K +0.818%G +0.015%3.8%2026-08-14 08:39
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.44%E -7.21%K -30.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.88%E +0.570%K +0.818%G +0.015%6.6%2026-08-14 08:43
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -11.52%E -9.00%K -41.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +1.88%E +0.570%K +0.818%G +0.015%8.4%2026-08-13 23:38
888sport🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.21%E -0.377%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.21%E -0.377%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.21%E -0.377%K -0.548%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-14 08:39
1xBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.91%E -2.82%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.82%E -0.573%K -0.836%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-14 08:39
Pinnacle🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-14 08:44
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.34%K -12.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 08:39
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.22%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 08:44
DraftKings🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.91%E -2.82%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.84%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 08:54
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 08:44
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 08:44
Bovada🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:38
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -4.60%E -3.34%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -8.62%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.68%E -4.95%K -19.08%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.92%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 08:54
ReBet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.60%E -3.34%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 08:49
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.09%E -3.85%K -5.90%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-14 08:49
theScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.60%E -3.34%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-14 08:49
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-14 08:39
Fanatics🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.56%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-14 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -7.37%E -5.50%K -21.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -15.10%E -5.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-14 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -18.19%E -6.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-14 08:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.