默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles

开赛时间： 2026-08-14 09:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

69%

31%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 69.13%1.45公平赔率

EV -3.22%

优势 -2.30%

Kelly -8.06%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.40

博彩公司预测分布

66.58%69.47%68.83%74.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.271.341.361.4078.74%74.53%73.53%71.43%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (客队)

预测 30.87%3.24公平赔率

EV +12.69%

优势 +3.48%

Kelly +4.79%

增长率 +0.607%

假设最高赔率为 3.65

博彩公司预测分布

25.81%30.53%31.17%33.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.653.173.113.6537.74%31.56%32.15%27.40%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：69.13%；Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (客队)：30.87%。对于“Tohoku Rakuten Golden Eagles (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.24。当时有12家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.65，对应+12.69%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetRivers🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%	6.1%	2026-08-13 20:45
PMU (FR)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%	6.1%	2026-08-13 20:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%	6.1%	2026-08-13 20:44
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%	6.1%	2026-08-13 20:44
Unibet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%	6.1%	2026-08-13 20:44
Bally Bet🎯	1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -12.21%E -9.61%K -45.22%G +0.000%	3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV +12.69%E +3.48%K +4.79%G +0.607%	6.1%	2026-08-13 20:44
BetMGM🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -9.44%E -7.21%K -30.46%G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV +4.97%E +1.46%K +2.07%G +0.103%	5.7%	2026-08-13 23:59
Coolbet🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV +3.43%E +1.02%K +1.46%G +0.050%	5.0%	2026-08-14 08:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.88%E +0.570%K +0.818%G +0.015%	3.8%	2026-08-14 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV +1.88%E +0.570%K +0.818%G +0.015%	3.8%	2026-08-14 08:39
Caesars🎯	1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -9.44%E -7.21%K -30.46%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV +1.88%E +0.570%K +0.818%G +0.015%	6.6%	2026-08-14 08:43
Coral🎯	1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -11.52%E -9.00%K -41.13%G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV +1.88%E +0.570%K +0.818%G +0.015%	8.4%	2026-08-13 23:38
888sport🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.21%E -0.377%K -0.548%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-14 08:39
888sport (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.21%E -0.377%K -0.548%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-14 08:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -1.21%E -0.377%K -0.548%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-14 08:39
1xBet🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 69.58%EV -3.91%E -2.82%K -10.04%G +0.000%	3.18I 31.45%NM 30.42%EV -1.82%E -0.573%K -0.836%G +0.000%	3.4%	2026-08-14 08:39
Pinnacle🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.96%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.06%G +0.000%	3.11I 32.15%NM 31.04%EV -3.98%E -1.28%K -1.89%G +0.000%	3.6%	2026-08-14 08:44
FanDuel🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.60%E -3.34%K -12.12%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -4.29%E -1.38%K -2.04%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-14 08:39
BetUS🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.06%G +0.000%	3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -5.22%E -1.70%K -2.52%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-14 08:44
DraftKings🎯	1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -3.91%E -2.82%K -10.04%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -5.84%E -1.91%K -2.85%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-14 08:54
Betsson🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.06%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-14 08:44
NordicBet🎯	1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.22%E -2.30%K -8.06%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-14 08:44
Bovada🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-14 08:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -7.38%E -2.46%K -3.69%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-14 08:38
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 68.20%EV -4.60%E -3.34%K -12.12%G +0.000%	2.96I 33.78%NM 31.80%EV -8.62%E -2.91%K -4.40%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-14 08:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -6.68%E -4.95%K -19.08%G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.92%E -3.03%K -4.58%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-14 08:54
ReBet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -4.60%E -3.34%K -12.12%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -10.47%E -3.61%K -5.51%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-08-14 08:49
BoyleSports🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -11.09%E -3.85%K -5.90%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-14 08:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -4.60%E -3.34%K -12.12%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-14 08:49
Betway🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -12.01%E -4.21%K -6.49%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-08-14 08:39
Fanatics🎯	1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -5.99%E -4.40%K -16.63%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -13.56%E -4.84%K -7.53%G +0.000%	9.2%	2026-08-14 08:54
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -7.37%E -5.50%K -21.68%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -15.10%E -5.49%K -8.63%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-14 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.33I 75.19%NM 66.58%EV -8.06%E -6.06%K -24.43%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 33.42%EV -18.19%E -6.86%K -11.02%G +0.000%	12.9%	2026-08-14 08:48

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。