The School of Odds

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes

2026-07-21 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 58.45%1.71fair odd
EV -2.39%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -3.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%58.56%58.48%60.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.6765%62%62%60%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 41.55%2.41fair odd
EV +1.80%
Edge +0.735%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.022%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.66%41.44%41.52%43.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.302.4547%44%43%41%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.80%E +0.735%K +1.24%G +0.022%2.9%2026-07-21 08:10
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV +1.80%E +0.735%K +1.24%G +0.022%2.9%2026-07-21 08:10
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-21 08:05
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.36%E -1.00%K -1.74%G +0.000%3.2%2026-07-21 04:55
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.73%E -2.90%K -7.50%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 05:20
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -2.77%E -1.18%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-21 04:55
1xBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.46%EV -3.19%E -1.37%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-21 08:10
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -7.65%E -4.84%K -13.19%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 08:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.23%E -5.25%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.23%E -5.25%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.23%E -5.25%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.23%E -5.25%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -8.23%E -5.25%K -14.45%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -3.60%E -1.55%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 08:10
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 08:10
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-21 04:54
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -7.07%E -4.44%K -11.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 08:08
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -9.40%E -6.07%K -17.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -4.43%E -1.93%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-21 08:10
Coolbet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -4.14%E -2.53%K -6.47%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 05:00
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.49%EV -5.68%E -2.50%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 05:00
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-21 04:55
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -5.31%E -3.28%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 23:19
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 03:35
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 08:05
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -6.51%E -2.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-21 04:55
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -3.56%E -2.16%K -5.48%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -7.34%E -3.29%K -5.97%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-21 08:10
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.39%E -1.43%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 12:44
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 13:00
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 13:00
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.90%E -3.66%K -9.67%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-21 03:35
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 18:14
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.48%E -4.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -8.59%E -3.90%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 23:19
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.18%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.82%EV -9.83%E -4.53%K -8.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-21 04:55
Unibet (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.95%EV -8.82%E -5.65%K -15.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.67%E -4.96%K -9.27%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-21 06:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.