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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 60.55%1.65fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.802%
Kelly -2.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%60.56%60.61%63.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.551.561.6367.57%64.39%64.10%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 39.45%2.53fair odd
EV +4.94%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +2.98%
Growth +0.147%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.21%39.44%39.39%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.392.382.6645.45%41.80%42.02%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 60.55%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 39.45%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.53. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -8.57%E -5.68%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +4.94%E +1.86%K +2.98%G +0.147% | 3.8% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +2.97%E +1.14%K +1.85%G +0.055% | 3.2% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +2.97%E +1.14%K +1.85%G +0.055% | 3.2% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.58%E +0.991%K +1.61%G +0.042% | 3.8% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.39%E -7.02%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.58%E +0.991%K +1.61%G +0.042% | 6.0% | 2026-07-21 08:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.57%E -5.68%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.604%E +0.237%K +0.390%G +0.002% | 5.4% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-07-21 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-21 08:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-21 08:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-21 08:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.71%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-21 08:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-21 08:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-21 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-21 08:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-21 08:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 08:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-21 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.97%E -5.24%K -15.32%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-21 08:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -1.31%E -0.802%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.28%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-21 05:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 08:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-21 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-21 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-21 08:05 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-21 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-21 08:05 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-21 08:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-20 23:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.18%E -6.12%K -18.36%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-07-21 08:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-20 23:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 59.78%EV -10.39%E -7.02%K -21.65%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.22%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-21 08:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.