L’École des cotes

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-21 09:01 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prévision 60.55%1.65cote équitable
EV -1.31%
Avantage -0.802%
Kelly -2.08%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.89%60.56%60.61%63.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.551.561.6367.57%64.39%64.10%61.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Orix Buffaloes (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.45%2.53cote équitable
EV +4.94%
Avantage +1.86%
Kelly +2.98%
Croissance +0.147%

avec la cote maximale 2.66

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.21%39.44%39.39%42.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.392.382.6645.45%41.80%42.02%37.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
BetUS1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -8.57%E -5.68%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV +4.94%E +1.86%K +2.98%G +0.147%3.8%2026-07-21 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +2.97%E +1.14%K +1.85%G +0.055%3.2%2026-07-21 08:55
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +2.97%E +1.14%K +1.85%G +0.055%3.2%2026-07-21 08:55
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +2.58%E +0.991%K +1.61%G +0.042%3.8%2026-07-21 08:55
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -10.39%E -7.02%K -21.65%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +2.58%E +0.991%K +1.61%G +0.042%6.0%2026-07-21 08:49
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.57%E -5.68%K -16.81%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV +0.604%E +0.237%K +0.390%G +0.002%5.4%2026-07-21 08:55
Pinnacle1.59I 62.89%NM 61.12%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.88%EV -1.37%E -0.547%K -0.912%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-21 08:50
Fanatics1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -3.34%E -1.36%K -2.30%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-21 08:50
FanDuel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.00%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.00%EV -3.74%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-21 08:50
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 08:55
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 08:55
Coolbet1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-21 08:55
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -5.31%E -2.21%K -3.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-21 08:50
MyBookie.ag1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -5.71%E -2.39%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-21 08:54
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 08:55
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 08:55
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 08:55
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.10%E -2.56%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-21 08:50
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.55%E -3.56%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-21 08:50
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.76%E -4.39%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-21 08:50
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 08:35
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -7.36%E -4.81%K -13.89%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-21 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.97%E -5.24%K -15.32%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -7.29%E -3.10%K -5.40%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-21 08:35
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -1.31%E -0.802%K -2.08%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -7.68%E -3.28%K -5.73%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-21 05:20
Unibet1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -4.34%E -2.74%K -7.47%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 08:05
Unibet (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
BetRivers1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
Bally Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.94%E -3.15%K -8.67%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -8.47%E -3.65%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-21 08:05
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.73%E -2.35%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.26%E -4.03%K -7.12%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-21 08:40
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -1.91%E -1.18%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 23:19
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -9.18%E -6.12%K -18.36%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.23%E -4.99%K -8.99%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-21 08:49
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -3.12%E -1.95%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 23:19
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 59.78%EV -10.39%E -7.02%K -21.65%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.22%EV -13.20%E -6.00%K -11.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-21 08:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.