The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes

2026-08-23 04:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

30 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 60.39%1.66fair odd
EV -2.77%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -4.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.34%60.34%60.32%61.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.511.561.561.6166.23%63.99%63.90%62.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Orix Buffaloes (Visit)

Prediction 39.61%2.52fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.551%
Kelly -0.921%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.49

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.93%39.66%39.68%40.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.372.382.4944.44%42.15%42.02%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 60.39%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 39.61%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.52. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.49, with an expected value of -1.37%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-22 19:00
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -2.77%E -1.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-22 19:00
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.20%EV -3.38%E -2.11%K -5.63%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.80%EV -4.15%E -1.71%K -2.92%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-22 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 12:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -1.37%E -0.551%K -0.921%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-22 13:00
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -3.98%E -2.50%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.96%E -1.21%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-22 12:39
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 19:00
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 19:00
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Coolbet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.58%E -2.90%K -7.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 18:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -6.52%E -2.76%K -4.80%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 18:58
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 18:59
Bovada🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 18:59
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.19%E -3.30%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 18:59
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 18:59
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 18:59
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 12:39
Betway🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -5.79%E -3.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.90%E -3.87%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 18:59
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.94%E -2.06%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 14:54
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -5.73%E -2.41%K -4.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 14:55
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 59.52%EV -7.60%E -4.97%K -14.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.48%EV -10.88%E -4.84%K -8.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-22 18:59
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.92%E -2.94%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 18:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.21%E -5.40%K -15.78%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.88%E -4.84%K -8.70%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 19:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 59.84%EV -8.81%E -5.83%K -17.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.16%EV -10.88%E -4.84%K -8.70%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-22 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.