默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes

开赛时间： 2026-08-23 04:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

62%

38%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 61.91%1.62公平赔率

EV -1.56%

优势 -0.982%

Kelly -2.65%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布

60.25%62.02%61.95%63.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.441.521.531.5969.44%65.63%65.36%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Orix Buffaloes (客队)

预测 38.09%2.63公平赔率

EV -0.970%

优势 -0.373%

Kelly -0.606%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.60

博彩公司预测分布

36.25%37.98%38.05%39.75%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.282.462.452.6043.86%40.67%40.82%38.46%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：61.91%；Orix Buffaloes (客队)：38.09%。对于“Orix Buffaloes (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.63。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.60，期望值为-0.970%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
1xBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%EV -1.56%E -0.982%K -2.65%G +0.000%	2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%EV -6.30%E -2.56%K -4.32%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-08-23 03:39
Pinnacle🎯	1.58I 63.29%NM 61.37%EV -2.18%E -1.38%K -3.76%G +0.000%	2.51I 39.84%NM 38.63%EV -4.40%E -1.75%K -2.91%G +0.000%	3.1%	2026-08-23 03:45
BetUS🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.85%EV -2.80%E -1.78%K -4.91%G +0.000%	2.44I 40.98%NM 39.15%EV -7.06%E -2.90%K -4.91%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-08-23 03:49
Unibet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.80%E -1.78%K -4.91%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.35%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-23 03:54
LowVig.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.11%E -0.822%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-23 03:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.11%E -0.822%K -1.35%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-08-23 03:49
DraftKings🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 03:48
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.35%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-22 18:59
PMU (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.35%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-22 18:59
BetRivers🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.35%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-22 18:59
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.35%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-22 18:59
Bally Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -3.42%E -2.19%K -6.10%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -9.35%E -3.93%K -6.77%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-22 18:59
NordicBet🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.60%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 03:40
Betsson🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.04%E -2.60%K -7.34%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-23 03:40
Coolbet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.66%E -3.02%K -8.62%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-08-23 03:44
Bovada🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.95%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-23 03:49
Caesars🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.28%E -3.45%K -9.95%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.59%E -3.58%K -6.13%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-22 14:54
FanDuel🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.56%EV -5.89%E -3.88%K -11.34%G +0.000%	2.54I 39.37%NM 37.44%EV -3.26%E -1.28%K -2.11%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-08-23 03:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -5.89%E -3.88%K -11.34%G +0.000%	2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -5.16%E -2.07%K -3.46%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 03:38
ReBet🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.51%E -4.31%K -12.77%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-23 03:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.13%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 03:19
888sport🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.13%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 03:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.13%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 03:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.13%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 03:20
BoyleSports🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.13%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-23 03:20
theScore Bet🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.13%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.68%E -2.73%K -4.61%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-23 03:34
Betway🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.13%E -4.76%K -14.27%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.59%E -3.58%K -6.13%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-23 03:35
BetMGM🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -8.37%E -5.66%K -17.44%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -0.970%E -0.373%K -0.606%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-08-23 03:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.47I 68.03%NM 61.52%EV -8.99%E -6.12%K -19.13%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.49%E -4.46%K -7.77%G +0.000%	10.6%	2026-08-23 03:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -10.23%E -7.05%K -22.73%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.85%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-08-23 03:24
Fanatics🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -10.23%E -7.05%K -22.73%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-23 03:46
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.45I 68.97%NM 61.13%EV -10.23%E -7.05%K -22.73%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 38.87%EV -13.16%E -5.77%K -10.28%G +0.000%	12.8%	2026-08-23 03:33
Coral🎯	1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -10.85%E -7.53%K -24.65%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -4.78%E -1.91%K -3.19%G +0.000%	9.4%	2026-08-23 03:29

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。