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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 66.13%1.51fair odd
EV +1.18%
Edge +0.772%
Kelly +2.23%
Growth +0.026%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.77%66.03%66.27%67.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.431.431.5373.53%69.83%69.93%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Orix Buffaloes (Visit)
Prediction 33.87%2.95fair odd
EV +1.27%
Edge +0.423%
Kelly +0.636%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 2.99
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.35%33.97%33.73%37.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.582.762.752.9938.76%36.23%36.36%33.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 66.13%; Orix Buffaloes (Visit): 33.87%. For Orix Buffaloes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.27%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +1.18%E +0.772%K +2.23%G +0.026% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -12.62%E -4.89%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 06:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.802%E -0.535%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 08:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.802%E -0.535%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 08:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.12%E -1.44%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.12%E -1.44%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-18 08:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.11%E -2.83%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.85%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 08:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.11%E -2.83%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 13:47 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.44%E -0.496%K -0.756%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-18 08:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.12%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-18 08:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-18 08:53 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 08:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 08:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 08:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV +1.27%E +0.423%K +0.636%G +0.008% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 08:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.78%E -0.615%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 08:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.78%E -0.615%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-18 08:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 08:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 08:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 08:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 08:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 08:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 08:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.09%E -4.29%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-18 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.75%E -4.79%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -0.428%E -0.146%K -0.221%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 08:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.75%E -4.79%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-18 08:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.43%EV -6.75%E -4.79%K -16.47%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 08:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.78%E -0.615%K -0.938%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 08:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 08:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-18 08:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 08:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 08:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-18 08:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -8.74%E -6.33%K -22.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-18 08:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.06%E -7.40%K -27.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-18 08:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.