L’École des cotes

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Orix Buffaloes

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prévision 66.13%1.51cote équitable
EV +1.18%
Avantage +0.772%
Kelly +2.23%
Croissance +0.026%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.77%66.03%66.27%67.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.431.431.5373.53%69.83%69.93%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Orix Buffaloes (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.87%2.95cote équitable
EV +1.27%
Avantage +0.423%
Kelly +0.636%
Croissance +0.008%

avec la cote maximale 2.99

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.35%33.97%33.73%37.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.582.762.752.9938.76%36.23%36.36%33.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +1.18%E +0.772%K +2.23%G +0.026%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -12.62%E -4.89%K -7.99%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 06:05
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.802%E -0.535%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 08:55
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -0.802%E -0.535%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -11.94%E -4.59%K -7.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 08:55
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.12%E -1.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 08:35
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -2.12%E -1.44%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-18 08:35
Coolbet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.72%EV -4.11%E -2.83%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.28%EV -5.85%E -2.10%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 08:50
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -4.11%E -2.83%K -9.13%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 13:47
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -1.44%E -0.496%K -0.756%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-18 08:39
BetUS1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.12%E -0.734%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 08:55
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.56%E -3.17%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 08:53
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 08:35
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 08:35
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.77%E -3.31%K -10.84%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.27%E -4.30%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 08:34
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.65%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.35%EV +1.27%E +0.423%K +0.636%G +0.008%3.4%2026-04-18 08:45
Fanatics1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.78%E -0.615%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 08:45
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.78%E -0.615%K -0.938%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 08:55
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 08:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 08:40
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 08:40
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 08:40
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 08:40
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.43%E -3.80%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 08:40
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -6.09%E -4.29%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-18 08:45
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.59%EV -6.75%E -4.79%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.41%EV -0.428%E -0.146%K -0.221%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-18 08:45
ReBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -6.75%E -4.79%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-18 08:45
MyBookie.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 66.43%EV -6.75%E -4.79%K -16.47%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.57%EV -5.51%E -1.97%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 08:49
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -1.78%E -0.615%K -0.938%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 08:39
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 08:45
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 08:50
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 08:45
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 08:44
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.42%E -5.30%K -18.54%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.86%E -2.50%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-18 08:34
Unibet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 65.76%EV -8.74%E -6.33%K -22.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.24%EV -10.25%E -3.87%K -6.21%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-18 08:45
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -10.06%E -7.40%K -27.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -5.17%E -1.85%K -2.87%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.