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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 53.30%1.88fair odd
EV +0.197%
Edge +0.105%
Kelly +0.223%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%53.10%53.29%56.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.631.771.781.8861.35%56.44%56.18%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit)
Prediction 46.70%2.14fair odd
EV +2.28%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.044%
assuming max odds 2.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.85%46.90%46.71%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.832.002.002.1954.64%49.97%50.00%45.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 53.30%; Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit): 46.70%. For Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.19, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -8.86%E -5.18%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +2.28%E +1.04%K +1.92%G +0.044% | 4.1% | 2026-08-06 05:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.86%E -5.18%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.92%E -0.915%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 13:28 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.86%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 07:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-06 08:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.26%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 07:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.26%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-06 07:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 07:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.86%E -5.18%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-06 07:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -9.93%E -5.88%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-06 07:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 08:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV +0.197%E +0.105%K +0.223%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-06 08:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -0.869%E -0.467%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-06 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-06 08:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 08:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-06 08:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-06 08:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 08:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 08:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-06 08:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.40%E -0.758%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.99%E -4.06%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 08:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.40%E -0.758%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.99%E -4.06%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-06 08:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -11.53%E -6.94%K -17.47%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -7.99%E -4.06%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-06 08:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.40%E -0.758%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 08:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.40%E -0.758%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 08:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-06 08:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -13.13%E -8.05%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.79%EV -9.86%E -5.11%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-06 08:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.80%E -5.65%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 08:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV +0.197%E +0.105%K +0.223%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -12.66%E -6.77%K -14.56%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-06 08:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -14.53%E -7.94%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-06 08:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.