默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters

开赛时间： 2026-08-06 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

53%

47%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 53.30%1.88公平赔率

EV +0.197%

优势 +0.105%

Kelly +0.223%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.88

博彩公司预测分布

49.87%53.10%53.29%56.15%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.631.771.781.8861.35%56.44%56.18%53.19%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)

预测 46.70%2.14公平赔率

EV +2.28%

优势 +1.04%

Kelly +1.92%

增长率 +0.044%

假设最高赔率为 2.19

博彩公司预测分布

43.85%46.90%46.71%50.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.832.002.002.1954.64%49.97%50.00%45.66%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)：53.30%；Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)：46.70%。对于“Hokkaido Nippon-Ham Fighters (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.14。当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.19，对应+2.28%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
William Hill🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -8.86%E -5.18%K -12.48%G +0.000%	2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +2.28%E +1.04%K +1.92%G +0.044%	4.1%	2026-08-06 05:20
Caesars🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -8.86%E -5.18%K -12.48%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.92%E -0.915%K -1.75%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-05 13:28
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -2.86%E -1.37%K -2.64%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-06 07:50
Coolbet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-06 08:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.26%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-06 07:45
theScore Bet🎯	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.26%E -4.18%K -9.82%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-06 07:40
BoyleSports🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-08-06 07:45
ReBet🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.86%E -5.18%K -12.48%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-08-06 08:05
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.40%E -5.53%K -13.42%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-08-06 07:40
Betway🎯	1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -9.93%E -5.88%K -14.39%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -4.26%E -2.08%K -4.05%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-08-06 07:40
FanDuel🎯	1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.53%E -1.95%K -4.36%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.66%E -2.80%K -5.55%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 08:25
Pinnacle🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV +0.197%E +0.105%K +0.223%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-08-06 08:50
1xBet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -0.869%E -0.467%K -1.01%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-06 08:50
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-06 08:45
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 08:05
BetRivers🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 08:00
PMU (FR)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 08:05
Unibet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 08:05
Bally Bet🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.13%E -2.88%K -6.58%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-06 08:05
BetMGM🎯	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.67%E -3.20%K -7.36%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-08-06 08:45
888sport🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 08:25
888sport (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 08:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.80%E -4.51%K -10.68%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.59%E -3.30%K -6.59%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-08-06 08:25
LowVig.ag🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.40%E -0.758%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.99%E -4.06%K -8.24%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 08:24
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -1.40%E -0.758%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -7.99%E -4.06%K -8.24%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-06 08:25
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 54.27%EV -11.53%E -6.94%K -17.47%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 45.73%EV -7.99%E -4.06%K -8.24%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-08-06 08:45
Betsson🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.40%E -0.758%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 08:25
NordicBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.40%E -0.758%K -1.65%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-06 08:25
Coral🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.73%E -3.85%K -8.98%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.93%E -4.58%K -9.40%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-06 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.63I 61.35%NM 54.21%EV -13.13%E -8.05%K -20.84%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 45.79%EV -9.86%E -5.11%K -10.60%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-08-06 08:34
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.80%E -5.65%K -11.86%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-06 08:25
BetUS🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV +0.197%E +0.105%K +0.223%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -12.66%E -6.77%K -14.56%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-06 08:50
Fanatics🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -2.47%E -1.35%K -2.97%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -14.53%E -7.94%K -17.51%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-06 08:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。