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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 72.61%1.38fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -1.47%
Kelly -5.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.59%72.56%72.48%74.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.301.291.3580.00%77.05%77.52%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 27.39%3.65fair odd
EV +0.538%
Edge +0.147%
Kelly +0.202%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%27.44%27.52%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.443.503.6733.33%29.05%28.57%27.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 72.61%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 27.39%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.65. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.538%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.538%E +0.147%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 12:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.538%E +0.147%K +0.202%G +0.001% | 4.2% | 2026-08-10 12:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-11 04:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-11 04:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 11:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-11 04:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 04:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 04:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 04:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 04:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 04:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 04:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-11 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-11 04:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 09:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-11 04:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-11 04:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.54%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-11 04:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-10 23:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 04:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-10 09:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 04:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 04:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-11 04:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-10 16:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-11 04:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.23%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-10 23:08 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -10.15%E -3.09%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-11 04:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.97%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-11 04:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.79%E -6.13%K -28.86%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.71%E -4.35%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-11 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.97%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -17.82%E -5.94%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-11 04:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.