Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

2026-08-11 05:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prediction 74.02%1.35fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.74%
Kelly -7.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.07%74.14%73.89%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.271.3281.97%78.84%78.74%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)

Prediction 25.98%3.85fair odd
EV +3.93%
Edge +0.982%
Kelly +1.31%
Growth +0.051%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.86%26.11%27.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.603.604.0031.25%27.76%27.78%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 74.02%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 25.98%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 4.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betsson🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.48%E -5.98%K -29.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.93%E +0.982%K +1.31%G +0.051%5.0%2026-08-10 10:25
NordicBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.48%E -5.98%K -29.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.93%E +0.982%K +1.31%G +0.051%5.0%2026-08-10 10:25
FanDuel🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -6.74%E -5.35%K -25.91%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV +1.33%E +0.341%K +0.458%G +0.006%5.0%2026-08-10 11:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.70%E -7.95%K -44.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -1.27%E -0.334%K -0.453%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-10 10:35
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.52%E -3.50%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.57%E -0.685%K -0.934%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-10 10:15
1xBet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.75%EV -3.04%E -2.32%K -9.79%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.25%EV -4.39%E -1.19%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-10 10:19
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.52%E -3.50%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 10:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.00%E -4.72%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.17%E -1.42%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 10:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.00%E -4.72%K -22.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-10 10:15
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -7.48%E -5.98%K -29.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -6.47%E -1.80%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 10:15
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.01%EV -2.30%E -1.74%K -7.17%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.99%EV -7.25%E -2.03%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-10 10:25
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.52%E -3.50%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 09:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.52%E -3.50%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.52%E -3.50%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 09:50
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.48%E -5.98%K -29.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.06%E -2.59%K -3.63%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-10 10:15
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.52%E -3.50%K -15.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 09:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.28%EV -8.22%E -6.63%K -34.24%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.72%EV -11.66%E -3.43%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-10 10:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 72.54%EV -8.96%E -7.28%K -38.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -15.56%E -4.79%K -6.92%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-10 10:15
ReBet🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.07%EV -8.22%E -6.63%K -34.24%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.93%EV -16.86%E -5.27%K -7.66%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-10 11:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.