默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间: 2026-08-11 05:01 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 72.61%1.38公平赔率
EV -1.98%
优势 -1.47%
Kelly -5.67%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.35

博彩公司预测分布
70.59%72.56%72.48%74.23%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.251.301.291.3580.00%77.05%77.52%74.07%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 27.39%3.65公平赔率
EV +0.538%
优势 +0.147%
Kelly +0.202%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 3.67

博彩公司预测分布
25.77%27.44%27.52%29.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.443.503.6733.33%29.05%28.57%27.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队):72.61%;Chiba Lotte Marines (客队):27.39%。 对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.65。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.67,对应+0.538%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.538%E +0.147%K +0.202%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-10 12:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.84%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.16%EV +0.538%E +0.147%K +0.202%G +0.001%4.2%2026-08-10 12:04
1xBet🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 73.17%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.83%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-11 04:40
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 04:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -1.38%E -0.383%K -0.530%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-10 11:05
Coolbet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-11 04:20
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 04:05
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 04:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 04:04
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 04:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 04:05
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -2.75%E -0.774%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 04:04
Pinnacle🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-11 04:50
Fanatics🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-11 04:39
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 09:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 04:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.12%E -1.18%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-10 09:50
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.16%E -3.15%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.49%E -1.59%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 04:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.46%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.54%EV -6.31%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-11 04:44
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-10 23:15
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.61%E -4.32%K -18.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 04:40
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.86%E -2.02%K -2.86%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-10 09:45
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -8.23%E -2.46%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 04:35
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 04:24
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -1.98%E -1.47%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-11 04:25
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -4.89%E -3.73%K -15.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-10 16:50
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-11 04:00
Coral🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.07%E -5.52%K -25.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -9.60%E -2.91%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-10 23:08
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.15%EV -3.43%E -2.58%K -10.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.85%EV -10.15%E -3.09%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-11 04:54
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -6.34%E -4.91%K -21.86%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -10.97%E -3.37%K -4.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-11 04:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 71.27%EV -7.79%E -6.13%K -28.86%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -13.71%E -4.35%K -6.38%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-11 04:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 70.59%EV -9.24%E -7.39%K -36.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.41%EV -17.82%E -5.94%K -8.91%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-11 04:39
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。