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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 68.42%1.46fair odd
EV -1.47%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -3.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.91%68.14%68.43%70.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.381.361.4475.76%72.62%73.53%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV +1.04%
Edge +0.326%
Kelly +0.474%
Growth +0.005%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.86%31.86%31.57%36.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.963.003.2039.22%33.76%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 68.42%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 31.58%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.04%.
Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +1.04%E +0.326%K +0.474%G +0.005% | 3.2% | 2026-08-12 08:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-12 08:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.68%E -7.33%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.12%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 08:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.06%E -0.998%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.06%E -0.998%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-12 08:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-11 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 19:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 19:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 19:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-11 19:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 08:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 08:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 15:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 15:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 15:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-11 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-11 23:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.76%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-11 23:23 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -5.59%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-12 08:53 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.52%E -2.50%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-12 08:45 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.92%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-12 08:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -1.47%E -1.02%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -8.11%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-12 08:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.84%E -2.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-12 08:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-12 08:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.47%E -1.02%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-12 08:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-12 08:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-12 08:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.84%E -2.00%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-11 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -8.31%E -6.20%K -24.45%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-12 08:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 67.16%EV -9.68%E -7.33%K -30.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-12 08:43 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -1.47%E -1.02%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -19.48%E -7.64%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-12 08:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.