默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

开赛时间: 2026-08-12 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队)

预测 68.42%1.46公平赔率
EV -1.47%
优势 -1.02%
Kelly -3.34%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.44

博彩公司预测分布
63.91%68.14%68.43%70.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.321.381.361.4475.76%72.62%73.53%69.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)

预测 31.58%3.17公平赔率
EV +1.04%
优势 +0.326%
Kelly +0.474%
增长率 +0.005%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.86%31.86%31.57%36.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.552.963.003.2039.22%33.76%33.33%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (主队):68.42%;Chiba Lotte Marines (客队):31.58%。 对于“Chiba Lotte Marines (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.17。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为3.20,对应+1.04%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.72%EV -4.89%E -3.52%K -12.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.28%EV +1.04%E +0.326%K +0.474%G +0.005%3.2%2026-08-12 08:45
FanDuel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.12%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-12 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -9.68%E -7.33%K -30.25%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -2.12%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 08:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.06%E -0.998%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -3.06%E -0.998%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-12 08:45
Unibet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.92%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-11 19:30
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 19:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 19:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 19:25
Bally Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-11 19:24
Coolbet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 08:55
Betsson🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 08:50
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 15:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 15:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-11 22:39
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 08:45
BetMGM🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.63%E -5.65%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-11 23:24
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -9.00%E -6.76%K -27.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-11 23:23
MyBookie.ag🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.42%EV -5.57%E -4.04%K -14.67%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.58%EV -5.59%E -1.87%K -2.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-12 08:53
DraftKings🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.52%E -2.50%K -8.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 08:45
ReBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -6.26%E -4.57%K -16.92%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-12 08:44
1xBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.90%EV -1.47%E -1.02%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 33.10%EV -8.11%E -2.79%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-12 08:44
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.84%E -2.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-12 08:54
theScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 08:45
BetUS🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -1.47%E -1.02%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-12 08:54
Bovada🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.21%E -3.00%K -10.51%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-12 08:44
Betway🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.70%EV -6.94%E -5.11%K -19.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-12 08:44
Caesars🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -2.84%E -2.00%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-11 12:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 67.24%EV -8.31%E -6.20%K -24.45%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.76%EV -13.17%E -4.79%K -7.52%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-12 08:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.16%EV -9.68%E -7.33%K -30.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -14.75%E -5.46%K -8.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-12 08:43
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -1.47%E -1.02%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -19.48%E -7.64%K -12.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 08:55
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。