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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 60.03%1.67fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -4.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.61%60.00%60.08%61.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.571.6267.11%63.56%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 39.97%2.50fair odd
EV -0.082%
Edge -0.033%
Kelly -0.055%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.73%40.00%39.92%41.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.352.352.5045.87%42.60%42.55%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 60.03%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 39.97%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.502. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.500, with an expected value of -0.082%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.75%E -1.70%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -4.48%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 04:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-05 00:35 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.88%E -2.95%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-04 15:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-04 20:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 04:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 04:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 04:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 04:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 04:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 04:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 02:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-05 02:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.482%E -0.193%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 04:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.482%E -0.193%K -0.323%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-07-05 04:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-04 14:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.88%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.082%E -0.033%K -0.055%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-07-05 04:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.08%E -0.849%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.28%E -1.36%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-05 04:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-05 04:23 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 02:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-04 20:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-05 02:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-05 04:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 04:25 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 04:25 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-05 04:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-05 04:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-04 18:34 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.83%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-07-05 04:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%EV -10.55%E -7.08%K -21.53%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%EV -12.87%E -5.90%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-07-05 04:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.