L’École des cotes

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-05 04:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prévision 60.03%1.67cote équitable
EV -2.75%
Avantage -1.70%
Kelly -4.43%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.61%60.00%60.08%61.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.491.571.571.6267.11%63.56%63.69%61.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.97%2.50cote équitable
EV -0.082%
Avantage -0.033%
Kelly -0.055%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
38.73%40.00%39.92%41.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.182.352.352.5045.87%42.60%42.55%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.60%EV -2.75%E -1.70%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.40%EV -4.48%E -1.87%K -3.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 04:10
William Hill1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-05 00:35
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -6.88%E -2.95%K -5.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-04 15:00
BetMGM1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-04 20:44
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 04:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 04:10
Bally Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 04:10
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 04:10
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 04:10
Unibet (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -3.35%E -2.08%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -8.87%E -3.89%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 04:10
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:20
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.95%E -2.47%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 02:25
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.482%E -0.193%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 04:25
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -0.482%E -0.193%K -0.323%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-05 04:25
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 04:20
Caesars1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -4.55%E -2.86%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-04 14:50
Pinnacle1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%EV -5.15%E -3.26%K -8.88%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%EV -0.082%E -0.033%K -0.055%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-05 04:15
DraftKings1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -2.08%E -0.849%K -1.43%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-05 04:20
FanDuel1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -3.28%E -1.36%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 04:20
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-05 04:19
MyBookie.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -5.28%E -2.23%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 04:23
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-05 02:25
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.75%E -3.66%K -10.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-04 20:35
ReBet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 04:20
theScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-05 04:20
Betway1.56I 64.10%NM 59.59%EV -6.35%E -4.07%K -11.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.41%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 02:25
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.55%E -4.90%K -13.98%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.08%E -1.70%K -2.91%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 04:15
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 04:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 04:20
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -4.88%E -2.05%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 04:25
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 04:15
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.15%E -5.33%K -15.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.21%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 04:25
Tipico (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.50%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-04 18:34
Unibet (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -8.75%E -5.76%K -16.83%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -10.07%E -4.48%K -8.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 04:20
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 59.40%EV -10.55%E -7.08%K -21.53%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 40.60%EV -12.87%E -5.90%K -10.91%G +0.000%13.0%2026-07-05 04:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.