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Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)
Prediction 57.77%1.73fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -4.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.48%57.95%57.72%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.40%61.73%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit)
Prediction 42.23%2.37fair odd
EV +2.61%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.83%
Growth +0.048%
assuming max odds 2.43
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%42.05%42.28%43.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.062.232.202.4348.54%44.83%45.45%41.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local): 57.77%; Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit): 42.23%. For Chiba Lotte Marines (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.61%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +2.61%E +1.07%K +1.83%G +0.048% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +2.61%E +1.07%K +1.83%G +0.048% | 3.3% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.19%E -0.509%K -0.888%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-04 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.46%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 04:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 04:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 04:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-03 19:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.25%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-03 15:58 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-03 17:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-04 04:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-03 17:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-03 17:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-03 19:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-04 04:14 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.30%E -5.92%K -16.31%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.95%E -3.65%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-04 04:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.14%E -5.12%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 57.06%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -13.01%E -6.32%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-07-04 04:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.