L’École des cotes

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks v Chiba Lotte Marines

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-04 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

35 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks (Local)

Prévision 57.77%1.73cote équitable
EV -2.94%
Avantage -1.75%
Kelly -4.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.68

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.48%57.95%57.72%60.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.551.631.621.6864.52%61.40%61.73%59.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chiba Lotte Marines (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.23%2.37cote équitable
EV +2.61%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.83%
Croissance +0.048%

avec la cote maximale 2.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.85%42.05%42.28%43.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.062.232.202.4348.54%44.83%45.45%41.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (35 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +2.61%E +1.07%K +1.83%G +0.048%3.3%2026-07-04 04:55
BetOnline.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 60.15%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 39.85%EV +2.61%E +1.07%K +1.83%G +0.048%3.3%2026-07-04 04:55
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -1.19%E -0.509%K -0.888%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-04 00:10
Pinnacle1.68I 59.52%NM 57.89%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.11%EV -2.46%E -1.06%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.8%2026-07-04 04:55
Tipico (DE)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.88%E -1.25%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 04:55
FanDuel1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.83%E -3.58%K -9.25%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -3.72%E -1.63%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-04 04:50
1xBet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -4.15%E -1.83%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-04 04:55
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 04:50
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 04:24
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 04:24
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.67%E -2.83%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 04:30
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-03 19:40
Bovada1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.99%E -2.22%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-04 04:55
MyBookie.ag1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -5.25%E -3.20%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -5.84%E -2.62%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 04:55
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.52%E -2.11%K -5.25%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-03 15:58
Unibet (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 04:50
BetRivers1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 04:50
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 04:50
PMU (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 04:50
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.10%E -2.47%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-04 04:50
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 04:50
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 04:50
ReBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 04:50
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.41%E -3.95%K -10.33%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-04 04:50
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 17:04
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 04:20
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 17:04
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -6.98%E -4.34%K -11.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 17:05
Coral1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-03 19:40
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.56%E -4.73%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-04 04:14
Fanatics1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%EV -9.30%E -5.92%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -7.10%E -3.23%K -5.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-04 04:50
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -2.94%E -1.75%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.95%E -3.65%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 04:55
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -8.14%E -5.12%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV -9.21%E -4.29%K -8.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-04 04:50
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 57.06%EV -10.45%E -6.74%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.94%EV -13.01%E -6.32%K -12.28%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-04 04:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.