The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Chunichi Dragons v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

Kickoff: 2026-08-13 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 51.25%1.95fair odd
EV -3.13%
Edge -1.66%
Kelly -3.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.73%51.41%51.22%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.841.851.8958.48%54.48%54.20%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit)

Prediction 48.75%2.05fair odd
EV -2.51%
Edge -1.25%
Kelly -2.51%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%48.59%48.78%50.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.921.912.0055.25%52.15%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 51.25%; Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit): 48.75%. For Yokohama DeNA BayStars (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.00, with an expected value of -2.51%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-13 08:50
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.87%E -4.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-13 08:55
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -8.85%E -4.73%K -10.17%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 08:55
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 08:54
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-13 08:54
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 18:34
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-12 14:29
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 23:35
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-13 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 07:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-13 07:40
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 08:29
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-13 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.92%E -3.07%K -6.37%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 14:29
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-13 08:30
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 14:30
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 14:29
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-12 14:29
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-13 08:45
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.82%E -5.31%K -11.55%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-12 23:33
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 14:29
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-12 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.79%E -5.56%K -12.89%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -9.82%E -5.31%K -11.55%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-13 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.31%E -5.89%K -13.74%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-12 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.33%E -6.55%K -15.52%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.77%E -6.50%K -14.53%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-13 08:34
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.36%E -7.23%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-13 08:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.