默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Yokohama DeNA BayStars

开赛时间： 2026-08-13 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

51%

49%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 51.25%1.95公平赔率

EV -3.13%

优势 -1.66%

Kelly -3.52%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.89

博彩公司预测分布

49.73%51.41%51.22%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.711.841.851.8958.48%54.48%54.20%52.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)

预测 48.75%2.05公平赔率

EV -2.51%

优势 -1.25%

Kelly -2.51%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布

46.09%48.59%48.78%50.27%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.811.921.912.0055.25%52.15%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：51.25%；Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)：48.75%。对于“Yokohama DeNA BayStars (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.05。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.00，期望值为-2.51%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%	2.9%	2026-08-13 08:50
Unibet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.87%E -4.16%K -8.84%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-13 08:55
BetUS🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -3.13%E -1.66%K -3.52%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -8.85%E -4.73%K -10.17%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-13 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-13 08:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-13 08:55
PMU (FR)🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-13 08:55
BetRivers🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-13 08:54
Bally Bet🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.64%E -1.94%K -4.14%G +0.000%	1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.36%E -4.45%K -9.50%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-13 08:54
Coolbet🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-12 18:34
FanDuel🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-08-12 14:29
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.15%E -2.22%K -4.78%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-12 23:35
1xBet🎯	1.86I 53.76%NM 51.81%EV -4.67%E -2.51%K -5.43%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.19%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-08-13 08:39
LowVig.ag🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-13 07:40
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%	1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -3.48%E -1.76%K -3.55%G +0.000%	4.6%	2026-08-13 07:40
NordicBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-13 08:29
Betsson🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.18%E -2.80%K -6.09%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-13 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.69%E -3.09%K -6.78%G +0.000%	1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.92%E -3.07%K -6.37%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-08-12 14:29
DraftKings🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-13 08:30
BoyleSports🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-12 14:30
Caesars🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-12 14:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-12 14:29
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-12 14:29
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-13 08:45
Coral🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.20%E -3.39%K -7.48%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.82%E -5.31%K -11.55%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-08-12 23:33
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-12 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-12 14:30
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-12 14:29
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.74%E -4.30%K -9.68%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.90%E -3.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-12 18:15
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.76I 56.82%NM 51.25%EV -9.79%E -5.56%K -12.89%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 48.75%EV -9.82%E -5.31%K -11.55%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-13 08:45
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -10.31%E -5.89%K -13.74%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -4.95%E -2.54%K -5.21%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-12 16:44
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -11.33%E -6.55%K -15.52%G +0.000%	1.81I 55.25%NM 48.87%EV -11.77%E -6.50%K -14.53%G +0.000%	13.1%	2026-08-13 08:34
Fanatics🎯	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -12.36%E -7.23%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -2.51%E -1.25%K -2.51%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-08-13 08:50

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。