默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-08-06 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

61%

39%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 60.87%1.64公平赔率

EV -3.22%

优势 -2.03%

Kelly -5.46%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.59

博彩公司预测分布

59.13%61.18%60.76%63.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.481.541.531.5967.57%65.03%65.36%62.89%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 39.13%2.56公平赔率

EV +4.10%

优势 +1.54%

Kelly +2.47%

增长率 +0.101%

假设最高赔率为 2.66

博彩公司预测分布

36.36%38.82%39.24%40.87%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.202.432.382.6645.45%41.09%42.02%37.59%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：60.87%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：39.13%。对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.56。当时有7家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.66，对应+4.10%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.39%G +0.000%	2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV +4.10%E +1.54%K +2.47%G +0.101%	3.4%	2026-08-06 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +3.71%E +1.40%K +2.25%G +0.083%	3.1%	2026-08-06 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +3.71%E +1.40%K +2.25%G +0.083%	3.1%	2026-08-06 08:35
BetUS🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +1.75%E +0.673%K +1.09%G +0.019%	3.8%	2026-08-06 08:54
Betsson🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.39%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +1.75%E +0.673%K +1.09%G +0.019%	4.3%	2026-08-06 08:44
NordicBet🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.39%G +0.000%	2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +1.75%E +0.673%K +1.09%G +0.019%	4.3%	2026-08-06 08:45
1xBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -6.27%E -4.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%	2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV +0.575%E +0.224%K +0.366%G +0.002%	3.8%	2026-08-06 08:40
DraftKings🎯	1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.09%E -5.36%K -15.87%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.208%E -0.081%K -0.134%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-06 08:50
Bovada🎯	1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.31%E -6.25%K -19.00%G +0.000%	2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.208%E -0.081%K -0.134%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-08-06 08:34
BetMGM🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.16%E -0.866%K -1.44%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-06 08:50
William Hill🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.44%E -2.83%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.95%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-08-06 08:25
Coral🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.70%E -5.80%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-06 08:45
Coolbet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.44%E -2.83%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-08-06 07:55
FanDuel🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-08-06 07:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-08-06 07:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.47%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-08-06 07:44
Unibet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.44%E -2.83%K -7.79%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-08-06 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:50
BetRivers🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-08-06 08:50
BoyleSports🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-06 07:39
888sport🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-06 07:34
888sport (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-06 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-08-06 07:35
theScore Bet🎯	1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-08-06 07:30
ReBet🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.27%E -4.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-08-06 08:05
Betway🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-06 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.39%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-08-06 04:30
Caesars🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.22%E -2.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-08-05 16:44
Fanatics🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-08-06 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.70%E -5.80%K -17.40%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-08-06 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.48I 67.57%NM 59.78%EV -9.92%E -6.70%K -20.66%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 40.22%EV -13.90%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%	13.0%	2026-08-06 08:34

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。