Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

Inizio: 2026-08-06 09:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Chunichi Dragons (Casa)

Previsione 60.87%1.64quota equa
EV -3.22%
Vantaggio -2.03%
Kelly -5.46%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
59.13%61.18%60.76%63.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.481.541.531.5967.57%65.03%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Trasferta)

Previsione 39.13%2.56quota equa
EV +4.10%
Vantaggio +1.54%
Kelly +2.47%
Crescita +0.101%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.36%38.82%39.24%40.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.432.382.6645.45%41.09%42.02%37.59%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Chunichi Dragons (Casa): 60.87%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Trasferta): 39.13%. Per Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.56. 7 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 2.66, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +4.10%.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.64%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.36%EV +4.10%E +1.54%K +2.47%G +0.101%3.4%2026-08-06 08:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +3.71%E +1.40%K +2.25%G +0.083%3.1%2026-08-06 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV +3.71%E +1.40%K +2.25%G +0.083%3.1%2026-08-06 08:35
BetUS🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV +1.75%E +0.673%K +1.09%G +0.019%3.8%2026-08-06 08:54
Betsson🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +1.75%E +0.673%K +1.09%G +0.019%4.3%2026-08-06 08:44
NordicBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV +1.75%E +0.673%K +1.09%G +0.019%4.3%2026-08-06 08:45
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.53%EV -6.27%E -4.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.47%EV +0.575%E +0.224%K +0.366%G +0.002%3.8%2026-08-06 08:40
DraftKings🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -8.09%E -5.36%K -15.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -0.208%E -0.081%K -0.134%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:50
Bovada🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -9.31%E -6.25%K -19.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -0.208%E -0.081%K -0.134%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-06 08:34
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.16%E -0.866%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 08:50
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.44%E -2.83%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -2.95%E -1.19%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-06 08:25
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.70%E -5.80%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.12%E -1.68%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 08:45
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -4.44%E -2.83%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-06 07:55
FanDuel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.80%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.20%EV -5.30%E -2.19%K -3.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 07:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.08%E -2.53%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 07:39
MyBookie.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.51%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.49%EV -6.47%E -2.71%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-06 07:44
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.44%E -2.83%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 08:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:50
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:50
BetRivers🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:50
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-06 08:50
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 07:39
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 07:34
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 07:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -6.86%E -2.88%K -4.97%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-06 07:35
theScore Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -5.05%E -3.24%K -9.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-06 07:30
ReBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -6.27%E -4.07%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-06 08:05
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-06 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -7.48%E -4.92%K -14.39%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -8.03%E -3.42%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-06 04:30
Caesars🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -3.22%E -2.03%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 16:44
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -6.88%E -4.49%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -9.99%E -4.34%K -7.69%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 08:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 60.00%EV -8.70%E -5.80%K -17.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -11.95%E -5.31%K -9.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-06 08:45
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 59.78%EV -9.92%E -6.70%K -20.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.22%EV -13.90%E -6.32%K -11.59%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-06 08:34
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.