Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

2026-08-04 09:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 58.70%1.70fair odd
EV -3.14%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -4.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.14%58.72%58.71%59.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.601.621.6564.94%62.38%61.92%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit)

Prediction 41.30%2.42fair odd
EV -0.470%
Edge -0.195%
Kelly -0.334%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.05%41.28%41.29%41.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.282.292.4146.51%43.81%43.67%41.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 58.70%; Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit): 41.30%. For Tokyo Yakult Swallows (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.41, with an expected value of -0.470%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 13:24
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:49
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -3.14%E -1.90%K -4.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 14:49
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.73%E -2.27%K -5.83%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-03 17:39
William Hill1.63I 61.35%NM 58.94%EV -4.32%E -2.65%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.06%EV -3.36%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 13:44
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.80%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 40.20%EV -0.470%E -0.195%K -0.334%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 17:49
NordicBet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 13:24
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 13:24
Betsson1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 13:24
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 13:24
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.01%E -2.18%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 17:40
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 13:24
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.90%E -3.03%K -7.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 13:30
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -3.36%E -1.44%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 17:45
MyBookie.ag1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%EV -5.84%E -2.56%K -4.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 17:48
Hard Rock Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 13:24
theScore Bet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -5.49%E -3.41%K -9.00%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-03 13:24
Bovada1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.95%E -1.25%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-03 17:41
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 13:24
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 14:54
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 13:25
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 13:25
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.84%E -4.99%K -13.75%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.08%E -3.15%K -5.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-03 18:04
Betclic (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.29%EV -8.43%E -5.40%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.71%EV -9.97%E -4.57%K -8.45%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-03 17:45
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.60%E -6.23%K -17.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-03 17:45
ReBet1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.60%E -6.23%K -17.78%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.21%E -5.21%K -9.75%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-03 17:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.