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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Chunichi Dragons v Tokyo Yakult Swallows

开赛时间： 2026-08-04 09:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

35 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 62.56%1.60公平赔率
EV -2.41%
优势 -1.54%
Kelly -4.30%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布
60.10%62.41%62.81%65.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.431.521.531.5669.93%65.94%65.36%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)

预测 37.44%2.67公平赔率
EV +3.71%
优势 +1.34%
Kelly +2.10%
增长率 +0.078%

假设最高赔率为 2.77

博彩公司预测分布
34.98%37.59%37.19%39.90%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.322.492.502.7743.10%40.09%40.00%36.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：62.56%；Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)：37.44%。 对于“Tokyo Yakult Swallows (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.67。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.77，对应+3.71%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (35 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle1.49I 67.11%NM 65.02%EV -6.79%E -4.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV +3.71%E +1.34%K +2.10%G +0.078%3.2%2026-08-04 08:54
BetUS1.49I 67.11%NM 64.35%EV -6.79%E -4.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.65%EV +0.717%E +0.266%K +0.424%G +0.003%4.3%2026-08-04 08:55
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.781%E -0.295%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 08:45
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -0.781%E -0.295%K -0.473%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-04 08:44
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -6.79%E -4.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -0.781%E -0.295%K -0.473%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 08:54
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -9.29%E -6.41%K -20.64%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -0.781%E -0.295%K -0.473%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:54
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.65%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-04 08:55
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.91%E -3.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.65%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 08:54
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -4.91%E -3.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -2.65%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-04 08:55
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.65%E -1.02%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 08:54
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.40%E -1.32%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 08:54
1xBet1.55I 64.52%NM 62.10%EV -3.03%E -1.96%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.90%EV -4.90%E -1.93%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-04 08:39
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:49
Hard Rock Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:48
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.16%E -4.11%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:54
ReBet1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -6.79%E -4.56%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-04 08:54
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:55
Betway1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.41%E -5.01%K -15.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 08:54
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.04%E -5.47%K -17.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.40%E -2.56%K -4.26%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-04 08:25
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.09%EV -4.91%E -3.23%K -9.44%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.91%EV -6.77%E -2.72%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 08:53
Coolbet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -3.03%E -1.96%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -7.52%E -3.04%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-04 08:34
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -3.66%E -2.38%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-04 00:54
Unibet (FR)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.34%EV -9.29%E -6.41%K -20.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.14%E -4.23%K -7.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-04 08:54
PMU (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.41%E -1.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 08:04
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.41%E -1.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 08:40
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.41%E -1.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 08:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.41%E -1.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 08:04
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.41%E -1.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 08:04
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -2.41%E -1.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 08:05
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:25
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:25
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -10.89%E -4.58%K -7.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-04 08:25
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -4.28%E -2.80%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -11.26%E -4.75%K -8.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-04 00:55
Caesars1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -2.41%E -1.54%K -4.30%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -12.01%E -5.11%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-04 08:33
Betclic (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.87%EV -10.54%E -7.37%K -24.51%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.13%EV -13.14%E -5.66%K -9.95%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-04 08:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。