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Chunichi Dragons v Saitama Seibu Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 47.21%2.12fair odd
EV -1.81%
Edge -0.872%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.09%47.48%46.95%50.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.982.002.0854.05%50.51%50.00%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit)
Prediction 52.79%1.89fair odd
EV +1.37%
Edge +0.712%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 1.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.47%52.52%53.05%53.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.791.791.9260.24%55.83%55.87%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 47.21%; Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit): 52.79%. For Saitama Seibu Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.37%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV +1.37%E +0.712%K +1.48%G +0.020% | 3.1% | 2026-06-06 04:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -11.73%E -6.27%K -13.48%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV +0.838%E +0.439%K +0.921%G +0.008% | 5.8% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV +0.310%E +0.163%K +0.345%G +0.001% | 3.7% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.27%E -0.681%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.27%E -0.681%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-06 04:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-06 04:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -12.67%E -6.85%K -14.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 23:46 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 23:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-05 23:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-05 15:36 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 04:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.81%E -0.872%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.03%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 00:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.03%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 02:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-05 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-06 04:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.32%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 03:48 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.14%E -4.68%K -11.00%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-06 04:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 23:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 23:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 23:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-05 23:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.72%E -5.68%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 03:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -8.89%E -4.61%K -9.56%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -10.78%E -6.38%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-06-06 04:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -10.78%E -5.70%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -12.36%E -7.45%K -18.73%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-06-06 04:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.