默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Saitama Seibu Lions

开赛时间： 2026-06-06 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

47%

53%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 47.21%2.12公平赔率

EV -1.81%

优势 -0.872%

Kelly -1.68%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.08

博彩公司预测分布

46.09%47.48%46.95%50.53%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.851.982.002.0854.05%50.51%50.00%48.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)

预测 52.79%1.89公平赔率

EV +1.37%

优势 +0.712%

Kelly +1.48%

增长率 +0.020%

假设最高赔率为 1.92

博彩公司预测分布

49.47%52.52%53.05%53.91%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.661.791.791.9260.24%55.83%55.87%52.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：47.21%；Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)：52.79%。对于“Saitama Seibu Lions (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.89。当时有3家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.92，对应+1.37%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000%	1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52%EV +1.37%E +0.712%K +1.48%G +0.020%	3.1%	2026-06-06 04:40
BetUS🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -11.73%E -6.27%K -13.48%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV +0.838%E +0.439%K +0.921%G +0.008%	5.8%	2026-06-06 04:49
1xBet🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%EV +0.310%E +0.163%K +0.345%G +0.001%	3.7%	2026-06-06 04:49
DraftKings🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.27%E -0.681%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-06 04:49
BetMGM🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -1.27%E -0.681%K -1.46%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-06-06 04:49
FanDuel🎯	1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -7.48%E -3.82%K -7.79%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -2.33%E -1.26%K -2.74%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-06 04:40
Bovada🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.84%E -5.15%K -10.81%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-06-06 04:39
Coral🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -12.67%E -6.85%K -14.91%G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -3.39%E -1.85%K -4.08%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-06-06 04:49
Fanatics🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-05 23:46
BetOnline.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-05 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-05 23:20
Betsson🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-06 04:49
NordicBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-06-06 04:49
Caesars🎯	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.95%E -4.08%K -8.37%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-06-05 15:36
Everygame🎯	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -10.31%E -5.43%K -11.46%G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -4.97%E -2.76%K -6.21%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-06-06 04:39
BetRivers🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-06 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-06 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-06 04:49
Unibet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-06 04:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-06 04:49
Bally Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 47.23%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.77%EV -5.50%E -3.07%K -6.96%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-06-06 04:49
William Hill🎯	2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -1.81%E -0.872%K -1.68%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -6.03%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-06-06 00:20
Coolbet🎯	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.23%E -1.58%K -3.08%G +0.000%	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -6.03%E -3.38%K -7.72%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-06-06 02:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-05 23:50
theScore Bet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.55%E -3.70%K -8.51%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-06-06 04:39
MyBookie.ag🎯	2.03I 49.26%NM 46.44%EV -4.17%E -2.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.56%EV -7.08%E -4.02%K -9.32%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-06 03:48
ReBet🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.14%E -4.68%K -11.00%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-06-06 04:10
BoyleSports🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-05 23:50
888sport🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-05 23:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-05 23:50
888sport (SE)🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.66%E -5.01%K -11.87%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-06-05 23:50
Betway🎯	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -5.59%E -2.79%K -5.59%G +0.000%	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -9.72%E -5.68%K -13.69%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-06-06 03:50
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 46.69%EV -8.89%E -4.61%K -9.56%G +0.000%	1.69I 59.17%NM 53.31%EV -10.78%E -6.38%K -15.62%G +0.000%	11.0%	2026-06-06 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 46.76%EV -10.78%E -5.70%K -12.11%G +0.000%	1.66I 60.24%NM 53.24%EV -12.36%E -7.45%K -18.73%G +0.000%	13.2%	2026-06-06 04:35

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。