The School of Odds

Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

2026-07-11 05:00 UTC — NPB

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 56.92%1.76fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -4.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.87%56.90%56.94%57.89%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.591.651.671.7063%60%60%59%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)

Prediction 43.08%2.32fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -0.776%
Kelly -1.38%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.11%43.10%43.06%44.13%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.052.192.202.2849%46%45%44%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.74%EV -3.24%E -1.91%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.26%EV -3.92%E -1.76%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-10 16:39
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 57.43%EV -3.81%E -2.26%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.57%EV -1.77%E -0.776%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-10 13:49
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.81%E -2.26%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.06%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.81%E -2.26%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.06%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 14:34
LowVig.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.81%E -2.26%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.06%E -1.36%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-10 14:34
BetUS1.69I 59.17%NM 55.87%EV -3.81%E -2.26%K -5.52%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.13%EV -7.80%E -3.65%K -6.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 15:30
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.38%E -2.61%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 16:39
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.38%E -2.61%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 16:39
Coolbet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.38%E -2.61%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 16:40
FanDuel1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.35%E -1.96%K -3.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-10 13:49
Caesars1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 13:53
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 14:54
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 13:49
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.95%E -2.96%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 13:59
William Hill1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -5.52%E -3.32%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -1.77%E -0.776%K -1.38%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-10 14:24
MyBookie.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 56.88%EV -5.52%E -3.32%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.12%EV -5.65%E -2.58%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 13:48
Bovada1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 16:07
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.09%E -3.69%K -9.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 16:39
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.80%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 14:04
Tipico (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.80%E -4.81%K -12.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.37%E -3.43%K -6.41%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 16:00
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.36%E -5.20%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 13:54
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.36%E -5.20%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 13:54
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -8.36%E -5.20%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 13:55
ReBet1.61I 62.11%NM 56.60%EV -8.36%E -5.20%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.52%E -4.54%K -8.66%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-10 17:05
Betclic (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.49%EV -8.36%E -5.20%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 43.51%EV -9.96%E -4.76%K -9.13%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-10 13:48
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.93%E -5.58%K -14.89%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.22%E -2.37%K -4.35%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-10 17:04
Unibet (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.32%EV -9.50%E -5.98%K -16.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.68%EV -11.68%E -5.70%K -11.12%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-10 17:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is the most recent time we recorded each book's price — on the default model, when it last changed, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.