默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间: 2026-07-11 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 55.68%1.80公平赔率
EV -2.56%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -3.42%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.75

博彩公司预测分布
54.05%55.86%55.70%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.691.691.7562.50%59.14%59.17%57.14%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 44.32%2.26公平赔率
EV -2.49%
优势 -1.13%
Kelly -2.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.11%44.14%44.30%45.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.962.132.152.2051.02%47.00%46.51%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Chunichi Dragons (主队):55.68%;Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队):44.32%。 对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.26。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为2.20,期望值为-2.49%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.47%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.53%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-11 04:40
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -2.56%E -1.46%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -6.04%E -2.85%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 04:29
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-11 04:53
Fanatics🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 04:38
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 04:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-11 04:19
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.12%E -1.79%K -4.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-11 04:54
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 04:45
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.23%E -2.46%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 04:44
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 04:50
MyBookie.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.24%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 44.76%EV -6.48%E -3.07%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 04:44
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 04:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.79%E -2.80%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 04:39
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.35%E -3.14%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.82%E -1.76%K -3.27%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-11 04:34
FanDuel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.35%E -3.14%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.27%E -1.98%K -3.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 04:39
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.35%E -3.14%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -11.36%E -5.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-11 04:29
ReBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 04:40
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 04:28
Betway🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -5.90%E -3.49%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -9.14%E -4.46%K -8.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 04:39
Caesars🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 13:53
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 19:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 04:54
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 04:54
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 04:54
PMU (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 04:54
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 04:54
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -3.38%E -1.55%K -2.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 04:54
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 04:39
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 04:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 04:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 04:29
Fliff🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.02%E -4.20%K -10.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.93%E -3.30%K -6.30%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 04:40
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.13%E -4.93%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.71%E -2.19%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 19:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.79%EV -8.13%E -4.93%K -12.51%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -11.36%E -5.68%K -11.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-11 04:49
Betclic (FR)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.90%EV -10.36%E -6.43%K -16.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.10%EV -13.13%E -6.70%K -13.68%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-11 04:38
Tipico (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -10.91%E -6.82%K -18.19%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.49%E -1.13%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-11 04:44
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。