Language:English
Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Chunichi Dragons (Local)
Prediction 59.01%1.69fair odd
EV -2.04%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -3.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.69%59.14%58.90%61.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.581.6665.36%62.90%63.29%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit)
Prediction 40.99%2.44fair odd
EV +1.65%
Edge +0.666%
Kelly +1.12%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.15%40.86%41.10%42.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.322.302.4846.51%43.05%43.48%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 59.01%; Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit): 40.99%. For Hiroshima Toyo Carp (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.44. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.48, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 04:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 04:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.63%E -0.679%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.45%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-23 04:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 04:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-23 04:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 04:48 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 03:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.55%E -2.87%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 03:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.96%E -3.06%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 04:38 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 03:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 03:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 03:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 04:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 03:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.12%E -5.92%K -16.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.88%E -5.52%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-23 04:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.