默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Hiroshima Toyo Carp

开赛时间： 2026-05-23 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

59%

41%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 59.01%1.69公平赔率

EV -2.04%

优势 -1.23%

Kelly -3.09%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.66

博彩公司预测分布

57.69%59.14%58.90%61.85%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.531.591.581.6665.36%62.90%63.29%60.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)

预测 40.99%2.44公平赔率

EV +1.65%

优势 +0.666%

Kelly +1.12%

增长率 +0.018%

假设最高赔率为 2.48

博彩公司预测分布

38.15%40.86%41.10%42.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

2.152.322.302.4846.51%43.05%43.48%40.32%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：59.01%；Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)：40.99%。对于“Hiroshima Toyo Carp (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.44。当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.48，对应+1.65%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
BetRivers🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018%	5.7%	2026-05-23 04:49
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018%	5.7%	2026-05-23 04:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018%	5.7%	2026-05-23 04:49
PMU (FR)🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018%	5.7%	2026-05-23 04:49
Unibet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018%	5.7%	2026-05-23 04:50
Bally Bet🎯	1.53I 65.36%NM 61.85%EV -9.71%E -6.35%K -18.32%G +0.000%	2.48I 40.32%NM 38.15%EV +1.65%E +0.666%K +1.12%G +0.018%	5.7%	2026-05-23 04:50
DraftKings🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.63%E -0.679%K -1.16%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-05-23 04:49
Pinnacle🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 59.20%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%EV -2.45%E -1.03%K -1.77%G +0.000%	3.0%	2026-05-23 04:40
FanDuel🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%	2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -3.27%E -1.38%K -2.40%G +0.000%	4.9%	2026-05-23 04:50
Fanatics🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-23 04:39
LowVig.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-23 04:49
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-23 04:49
1xBet🎯	1.64I 60.98%NM 58.90%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 41.10%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000%	3.5%	2026-05-23 04:49
Bovada🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%	2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.72%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-23 04:48
Coolbet🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-23 04:49
BetUS🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-05-23 04:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.46%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-05-23 04:49
theScore Bet🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-05-23 04:49
Everygame🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-23 04:49
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%	2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-23 03:19
William Hill🎯	1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%	2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.55%E -2.87%K -5.11%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-05-23 03:29
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.35%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%	2.27I 44.05%NM 41.65%EV -6.96%E -3.06%K -5.48%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-23 04:38
NordicBet🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-23 03:19
Betsson🎯	1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.05%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-05-23 03:19
Caesars🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-23 04:49
BetMGM🎯	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -4.40%E -2.72%K -7.10%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-05-23 03:19
ReBet🎯	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.46%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.41%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-05-23 04:49
888sport🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-23 04:49
BoyleSports🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-23 04:49
Betway🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-23 04:49
888sport (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-23 04:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.90%G +0.000%	2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-23 04:50
Coral🎯	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%	2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%	8.0%	2026-05-23 03:09
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.54I 64.94%NM 58.27%EV -9.12%E -5.92%K -16.89%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 41.73%EV -11.88%E -5.52%K -10.33%G +0.000%	11.4%	2026-05-23 04:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。