Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons v Hanshin Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-05-05 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Chunichi Dragons (Local)

Prediction 51.03%1.96fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.788%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%50.91%51.06%51.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.851.831.9356.18%54.18%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Hanshin Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 48.97%2.04fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -1.03%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.45%49.09%48.94%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.911.912.0054.05%52.33%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Chunichi Dragons (Local): 51.03%; Hanshin Tigers (Visit): 48.97%. For Chunichi Dragons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.96. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.93, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.52%E -0.788%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.52%E -0.788%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 14:50
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-04 15:35
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-05 04:30
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-05 04:55
BetUS🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.67%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-05 04:44
FanDuel🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 04:35
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 04:30
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-05 04:28
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-04 22:19
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 04:50
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-05 04:50
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:55
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:54
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-05 04:35
theScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:29
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:34
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:34
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-04 11:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:34
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:04
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:04
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-05 04:04
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-04 22:25
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:44
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-05 04:34
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-05 04:29
Unibet (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -9.18%E -5.15%K -11.76%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -8.91%E -4.79%K -10.36%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-05 04:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.