默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons v Hanshin Tigers

开赛时间： 2026-05-05 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

33 家博彩公司 (14 家纳入分析 )

51%

49%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Chunichi Dragons (主队)

预测 51.03%1.96公平赔率

EV -1.52%

优势 -0.788%

Kelly -1.64%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布

49.48%50.91%51.06%51.55%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.781.851.831.9356.18%54.18%54.64%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hanshin Tigers (客队)

预测 48.97%2.04公平赔率

EV -2.05%

优势 -1.03%

Kelly -2.05%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布

48.45%49.09%48.94%50.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.851.911.912.0054.05%52.33%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Chunichi Dragons (主队)：51.03%；Hanshin Tigers (客队)：48.97%。对于“Chunichi Dragons (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.96。当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.93，期望值为-1.52%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (33 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队 ▼	客队	利润率	更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.52%E -0.788%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-04 14:45
LowVig.ag🎯	1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.52%E -0.788%K -1.64%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-04 14:50
William Hill🎯	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.54%E -1.33%K -2.79%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-05-04 15:35
1xBet🎯	1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -3.56%E -1.88%K -4.00%G +0.000%	1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -3.52%E -1.79%K -3.63%G +0.000%	3.7%	2026-05-05 04:30
Pinnacle🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.05%E -1.03%K -2.05%G +0.000%	3.2%	2026-05-05 04:55
BetUS🎯	1.88I 53.19%NM 49.87%EV -4.07%E -2.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.13%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.67%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-05-05 04:44
FanDuel🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-05 04:35
Fanatics🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-05 04:30
DraftKings🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-05-05 04:28
BetMGM🎯	1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -4.58%E -2.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-05-04 22:19
Betsson🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-05 04:50
NordicBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%	1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-05-05 04:50
BetRivers🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:55
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:55
Bally Bet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%	1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -7.44%E -3.94%K -8.36%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:54
Tipico (DE)🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -5.60%E -3.03%K -6.59%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-05-05 04:35
theScore Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:29
ReBet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:35
MyBookie.ag🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:34
BoyleSports🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:34
Caesars🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-04 11:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:34
Bovada🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:04
PMU (FR)🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:04
Unibet🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-05-05 04:04
Coral🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -6.62%E -3.62%K -7.98%G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.05%G +0.000%	8.7%	2026-05-04 22:25
888sport🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-05 04:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-05 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-05 04:44
Betway🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%	1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-05-05 04:34
Everygame🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.15%E -4.53%K -10.19%G +0.000%	1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-05-05 04:29
Unibet (FR)🎯	1.78I 56.18%NM 51.10%EV -9.18%E -5.15%K -11.76%G +0.000%	1.86I 53.76%NM 48.90%EV -8.91%E -4.79%K -10.36%G +0.000%	9.9%	2026-05-05 04:49

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。